Trader consensus on Polymarket places 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 16, 2026, backed by confirmed observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) at the official Songshan Airport station, which recorded the daily peak at 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and occasional showers. This follows a warm spell under stable high-pressure systems driving 30–31°C highs through April 14–15, but a passing frontal boundary introduced cloud cover and light precipitation that suppressed daytime heating despite southerly winds. With sunset past and evening temperatures dropping to the low 20s°C, model consensus and historical diurnal patterns indicate negligible chance of exceeding 28°C; only an anomalous late-afternoon sensor revision could challenge this, though CWA data updates remain stable. Final daily report expected shortly.