Trader consensus favors a high temperature of 84°F or higher in Houston at 51.5% implied probability, aligned with the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a peak near 86°F under partly sunny skies and southerly winds around 15 mph. This positioning stems from warm air advection off the Gulf of Mexico, with morning lows in the mid-60s to low 70s providing a mild start and ample solar heating potential amid low cloud cover early in the day. However, a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty, reflected in elevated odds for 82-83°F (29%) and 80-81°F (16%), as convective activity could cap heating. Model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs supports upper 80s before instability, with real-time observations through midday likely to sharpen resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 18일 휴스턴에서 가장 높은 기온?
4월 18일 휴스턴에서 가장 높은 기온?
84°F or higher 49%
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 2.0%
신규
$24,694 거래량
신규
$24,694 거래량
2026.04.18
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
30%
84°F or higher
49%
84°F or higher 49%
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 2.0%
신규
$24,694 거래량
신규
$24,694 거래량
2026.04.18
65°F or below
$4,055 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$1,339 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$1,355 거래량
<1%
70-71°F
$2,288 거래량
<1%
72-73°F
$1,536 거래량
<1%
74-75°F
$1,145 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$1,090 거래량
1%
78-79°F
$2,256 거래량
2%
80-81°F
$3,415 거래량
20%
82-83°F
$2,671 거래량
30%
84°F or higher
$3,762 거래량
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high temperature of 84°F or higher in Houston at 51.5% implied probability, aligned with the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a peak near 86°F under partly sunny skies and southerly winds around 15 mph. This positioning stems from warm air advection off the Gulf of Mexico, with morning lows in the mid-60s to low 70s providing a mild start and ample solar heating potential amid low cloud cover early in the day. However, a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty, reflected in elevated odds for 82-83°F (29%) and 80-81°F (16%), as convective activity could cap heating. Model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs supports upper 80s before instability, with real-time observations through midday likely to sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ET
거래량
$24,694종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high temperature of 84°F or higher in Houston at 51.5% implied probability, aligned with the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a peak near 86°F under partly sunny skies and southerly winds around 15 mph. This positioning stems from warm air advection off the Gulf of Mexico, with morning lows in the mid-60s to low 70s providing a mild start and ample solar heating potential amid low cloud cover early in the day. However, a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty, reflected in elevated odds for 82-83°F (29%) and 80-81°F (16%), as convective activity could cap heating. Model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs supports upper 80s before instability, with real-time observations through midday likely to sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$24,694종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ETTrader consensus favors a high temperature of 84°F or higher in Houston at 51.5% implied probability, aligned with the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a peak near 86°F under partly sunny skies and southerly winds around 15 mph. This positioning stems from warm air advection off the Gulf of Mexico, with morning lows in the mid-60s to low 70s providing a mild start and ample solar heating potential amid low cloud cover early in the day. However, a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty, reflected in elevated odds for 82-83°F (29%) and 80-81°F (16%), as convective activity could cap heating. Model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs supports upper 80s before instability, with real-time observations through midday likely to sharpen resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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