Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 30°C (99.8% implied probability) as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport today, driven by official INMET observational data and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 29-30°C amid clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge. This autumn warmth exceeds the April climatological average of 25-27°C, fueled by light winds, low humidity around 55%, and minimal cloud interference allowing solar heating to dominate. Model consensus from INMET and CPTEC aligns, projecting no further intensification as the sun sets. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from adiabatic compression, though evening showers loom; final resolution awaits INMET's end-of-day records.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 18?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 18?
30°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C or higher <1%
$75,450 거래량
$75,450 거래량
2026.04.18
27°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C or higher <1%
$75,450 거래량
$75,450 거래량
2026.04.18
27°C
$11,952 거래량
<1%
29°C
$8,289 거래량
<1%
30°C
$12,213 거래량
100%
31°C
$7,694 거래량
<1%
32°C
$2,850 거래량
<1%
33°C
$1,757 거래량
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,717 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 30°C (99.8% implied probability) as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport today, driven by official INMET observational data and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 29-30°C amid clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge. This autumn warmth exceeds the April climatological average of 25-27°C, fueled by light winds, low humidity around 55%, and minimal cloud interference allowing solar heating to dominate. Model consensus from INMET and CPTEC aligns, projecting no further intensification as the sun sets. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from adiabatic compression, though evening showers loom; final resolution awaits INMET's end-of-day records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
거래량
$75,450종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 제기 기간
최종
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 30°C (99.8% implied probability) as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport today, driven by official INMET observational data and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 29-30°C amid clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge. This autumn warmth exceeds the April climatological average of 25-27°C, fueled by light winds, low humidity around 55%, and minimal cloud interference allowing solar heating to dominate. Model consensus from INMET and CPTEC aligns, projecting no further intensification as the sun sets. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from adiabatic compression, though evening showers loom; final resolution awaits INMET's end-of-day records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$75,450종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 제기 기간
최종
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 30°C (99.8% implied probability) as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport today, driven by official INMET observational data and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 29-30°C amid clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge. This autumn warmth exceeds the April climatological average of 25-27°C, fueled by light winds, low humidity around 55%, and minimal cloud interference allowing solar heating to dominate. Model consensus from INMET and CPTEC aligns, projecting no further intensification as the sun sets. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from adiabatic compression, though evening showers loom; final resolution awaits INMET's end-of-day records.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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