Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 16°C as London's highest temperature on April 18, 2026, with 99.7% implied probability, driven by Met Office observational data from central London stations showing a peak of 16°C around 13:00–14:00 amid sunny intervals, followed by stabilization at 16°C by 16:00 under increasing cloud cover and gusty winds up to 18 mph. Hourly records confirm no exceedance, consistent with early-morning forecast models projecting a daily maximum of 17°C but revised downward by real-time atmospheric conditions—brisk easterlies and showers limiting further warming. Historical April norms (13–14°C average highs) provide context for this mild positioning after early-month heat. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies enabling a brief 17°C spike before sunset, though model consensus and current cooling trends make this unlikely; final Met Office provisional data expected post-midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in London on April 18?
Highest temperature in London on April 18?
16°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
$222,427 거래량
$222,427 거래량
2026.04.18
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
$222,427 거래량
$222,427 거래량
2026.04.18
16°C
$64,222 거래량
100%
17°C
$32,050 거래량
<1%
18°C
$34,717 거래량
<1%
19°C
$19,489 거래량
<1%
20°C
$8,539 거래량
<1%
21°C or higher
$13,894 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 16°C as London's highest temperature on April 18, 2026, with 99.7% implied probability, driven by Met Office observational data from central London stations showing a peak of 16°C around 13:00–14:00 amid sunny intervals, followed by stabilization at 16°C by 16:00 under increasing cloud cover and gusty winds up to 18 mph. Hourly records confirm no exceedance, consistent with early-morning forecast models projecting a daily maximum of 17°C but revised downward by real-time atmospheric conditions—brisk easterlies and showers limiting further warming. Historical April norms (13–14°C average highs) provide context for this mild positioning after early-month heat. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies enabling a brief 17°C spike before sunset, though model consensus and current cooling trends make this unlikely; final Met Office provisional data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
거래량
$222,427종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 16°C as London's highest temperature on April 18, 2026, with 99.7% implied probability, driven by Met Office observational data from central London stations showing a peak of 16°C around 13:00–14:00 amid sunny intervals, followed by stabilization at 16°C by 16:00 under increasing cloud cover and gusty winds up to 18 mph. Hourly records confirm no exceedance, consistent with early-morning forecast models projecting a daily maximum of 17°C but revised downward by real-time atmospheric conditions—brisk easterlies and showers limiting further warming. Historical April norms (13–14°C average highs) provide context for this mild positioning after early-month heat. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies enabling a brief 17°C spike before sunset, though model consensus and current cooling trends make this unlikely; final Met Office provisional data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$222,427종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ETTrader consensus overwhelmingly favors 16°C as London's highest temperature on April 18, 2026, with 99.7% implied probability, driven by Met Office observational data from central London stations showing a peak of 16°C around 13:00–14:00 amid sunny intervals, followed by stabilization at 16°C by 16:00 under increasing cloud cover and gusty winds up to 18 mph. Hourly records confirm no exceedance, consistent with early-morning forecast models projecting a daily maximum of 17°C but revised downward by real-time atmospheric conditions—brisk easterlies and showers limiting further warming. Historical April norms (13–14°C average highs) provide context for this mild positioning after early-month heat. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies enabling a brief 17°C spike before sunset, though model consensus and current cooling trends make this unlikely; final Met Office provisional data expected post-midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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