Trader consensus in the open FL-19 Republican primary favors Catalina Lauf at 38.5%, driven by her $541,000 Q1 fundraising haul reported in mid-April, endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, and momentum from rivals like Lee County Sheriff Carmine Marceno exiting in March, narrowing a crowded field of candidates with limited local ties. Jim Schwartzel follows at 16.8%, leveraging Southwest Florida roots as a native and radio executive with a $1.28 million self-funded war chest entering 2026. Madison Cawthorn's 11.3% reflects national name recognition from his prior House term despite controversies, while the fragmented race lacks public polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트카탈리나 라우프 39%
Jim Schwartzel 15.7%
매디슨 코소른 11.7%
짐 오버와이스 8.0%
$22,703 거래량
$22,703 거래량
2026.08.18
카탈리나 라우프
33%
Jim Schwartzel
16%
매디슨 코소른
12%
짐 오버와이스
8%
스펜서 로치
7%
밥 롬멜
3%
카탈리나 라우프 39%
Jim Schwartzel 15.7%
매디슨 코소른 11.7%
짐 오버와이스 8.0%
$22,703 거래량
$22,703 거래량
2026.08.18
카탈리나 라우프
$16,723 거래량
33%
Jim Schwartzel
$604 거래량
16%
매디슨 코소른
$1,312 거래량
12%
짐 오버와이스
$2,542 거래량
8%
스펜서 로치
$656 거래량
7%
밥 롬멜
$865 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the open FL-19 Republican primary favors Catalina Lauf at 38.5%, driven by her $541,000 Q1 fundraising haul reported in mid-April, endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, and momentum from rivals like Lee County Sheriff Carmine Marceno exiting in March, narrowing a crowded field of candidates with limited local ties. Jim Schwartzel follows at 16.8%, leveraging Southwest Florida roots as a native and radio executive with a $1.28 million self-funded war chest entering 2026. Madison Cawthorn's 11.3% reflects national name recognition from his prior House term despite controversies, while the fragmented race lacks public polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
거래량
$22,703종료일
2026.08.18마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the open FL-19 Republican primary favors Catalina Lauf at 38.5%, driven by her $541,000 Q1 fundraising haul reported in mid-April, endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, and momentum from rivals like Lee County Sheriff Carmine Marceno exiting in March, narrowing a crowded field of candidates with limited local ties. Jim Schwartzel follows at 16.8%, leveraging Southwest Florida roots as a native and radio executive with a $1.28 million self-funded war chest entering 2026. Madison Cawthorn's 11.3% reflects national name recognition from his prior House term despite controversies, while the fragmented race lacks public polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$22,703종료일
2026.08.18마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the open FL-19 Republican primary favors Catalina Lauf at 38.5%, driven by her $541,000 Q1 fundraising haul reported in mid-April, endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, and momentum from rivals like Lee County Sheriff Carmine Marceno exiting in March, narrowing a crowded field of candidates with limited local ties. Jim Schwartzel follows at 16.8%, leveraging Southwest Florida roots as a native and radio executive with a $1.28 million self-funded war chest entering 2026. Madison Cawthorn's 11.3% reflects national name recognition from his prior House term despite controversies, while the fragmented race lacks public polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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