Trader consensus in the FL-19 Republican primary favors Catalina Lauf at 39.5%, driven by her $541,000 first-quarter 2026 fundraising haul reported in mid-April and prior Trump administration advisory role, positioning her as a strong conservative contender in the crowded open-seat race vacated by Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid. Local Fort Myers businessman Jim Schwartzel holds 18.9% with $1.47 million cash on hand as of late March, appealing amid voter skepticism toward out-of-state candidates like Illinois native Jim Oberweis (11.8%, boasting $2.96 million cash from self-funding) and former North Carolina Rep. Madison Cawthorn (11.2%). No public polling exists, but recent field thinning—including dropouts like Johnny Fratto endorsing Cawthorn—has concentrated bets on frontrunners' resources and name recognition ahead of the August 18 primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트카탈리나 라우프 40%
Jim Schwartzel 18.9%
짐 오버와이스 11.8%
매디슨 코소른 11.2%
$22,763 거래량
$22,763 거래량
카탈리나 라우프
40%
Jim Schwartzel
19%
짐 오버와이스
12%
매디슨 코소른
11%
스펜서 로치
6%
밥 롬멜
3%
카탈리나 라우프 40%
Jim Schwartzel 18.9%
짐 오버와이스 11.8%
매디슨 코소른 11.2%
$22,763 거래량
$22,763 거래량
카탈리나 라우프
40%
Jim Schwartzel
19%
짐 오버와이스
12%
매디슨 코소른
11%
스펜서 로치
6%
밥 롬멜
3%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the FL-19 Republican primary favors Catalina Lauf at 39.5%, driven by her $541,000 first-quarter 2026 fundraising haul reported in mid-April and prior Trump administration advisory role, positioning her as a strong conservative contender in the crowded open-seat race vacated by Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid. Local Fort Myers businessman Jim Schwartzel holds 18.9% with $1.47 million cash on hand as of late March, appealing amid voter skepticism toward out-of-state candidates like Illinois native Jim Oberweis (11.8%, boasting $2.96 million cash from self-funding) and former North Carolina Rep. Madison Cawthorn (11.2%). No public polling exists, but recent field thinning—including dropouts like Johnny Fratto endorsing Cawthorn—has concentrated bets on frontrunners' resources and name recognition ahead of the August 18 primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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