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Democratic candidates announce run for president before DNC?

Market icon

Democratic candidates announce run for president before DNC?

$1,674,803 Vol.

Aug 31, 2024
Polymarket

$1,674,803 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$174,582 Vol.

No

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$113,952 Vol.

No

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$57,617 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$1,156,705 Vol.

No

Market icon

J. B. Pritzker

$94,088 Vol.

No

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$77,860 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom, Governor of California, announces that he is running for president of the United States of America before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by this candidate will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed to run for president of the United States, or whether they actually file to run for president in the future.

If the DNC does not begin by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and this candidate has not announced their intention to run, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by this candidate (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or their official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
볼륨
$1,674,803
종료일
Aug 18, 2024
생성일
Jun 28, 2024, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom, Governor of California, announces that he is running for president of the United States of America before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by this candidate will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed to run for president of the United States, or whether they actually file to run for president in the future. If the DNC does not begin by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and this candidate has not announced their intention to run, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by this candidate (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or their official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic candidates announce run for president before DNC?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kamala Harris" at 100%, followed by "Gavin Newsom " at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic candidates announce run for president before DNC?" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 28, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic candidates announce run for president before DNC?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic candidates announce run for president before DNC?" is "Kamala Harris" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gavin Newsom " at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic candidates announce run for president before DNC?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.