Connecticut’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins that favor the party in general elections. Incumbent Representative John Larson, a long-serving member of the House Ways and Means Committee, holds a clear lead in the August 2026 Democratic primary over challengers including former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin. Republican primary candidates have emerged but face structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Democratic. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in November 2026, consistent with the seat’s partisan baseline. A primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee or an unusually strong national Republican environment remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,399 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$1,329 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins that favor the party in general elections. Incumbent Representative John Larson, a long-serving member of the House Ways and Means Committee, holds a clear lead in the August 2026 Democratic primary over challengers including former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin. Republican primary candidates have emerged but face structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Democratic. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in November 2026, consistent with the seat’s partisan baseline. A primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee or an unusually strong national Republican environment remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$3,728종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins that favor the party in general elections. Incumbent Representative John Larson, a long-serving member of the House Ways and Means Committee, holds a clear lead in the August 2026 Democratic primary over challengers including former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin. Republican primary candidates have emerged but face structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Democratic. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in November 2026, consistent with the seat’s partisan baseline. A primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee or an unusually strong national Republican environment remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,728종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins that favor the party in general elections. Incumbent Representative John Larson, a long-serving member of the House Ways and Means Committee, holds a clear lead in the August 2026 Democratic primary over challengers including former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin. Republican primary candidates have emerged but face structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Democratic. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in November 2026, consistent with the seat’s partisan baseline. A primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee or an unusually strong national Republican environment remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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