Connecticut's 1st Congressional District, a longtime Democratic stronghold with Cook Partisan Voting Index leaning heavily Democratic and historical margins exceeding 30 points for Rep. John Larson since 1999, drives trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 92.5%. The district's urban core around Hartford favors Democrats amid weak Republican opposition, with no prominent GOP candidate declared ahead of the June filing deadline. Recent May 11 Democratic convention saw former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin narrowly secure party endorsement over Larson in a three-way August 11 primary alongside Jillian Gilchrest, but internal competition poses little general election risk. Upsets could arise from a high-profile Republican recruit, nominee scandal, or national Republican wave, though structural advantages make these unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
4%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$776 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$1,224 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 1st Congressional District, a longtime Democratic stronghold with Cook Partisan Voting Index leaning heavily Democratic and historical margins exceeding 30 points for Rep. John Larson since 1999, drives trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 92.5%. The district's urban core around Hartford favors Democrats amid weak Republican opposition, with no prominent GOP candidate declared ahead of the June filing deadline. Recent May 11 Democratic convention saw former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin narrowly secure party endorsement over Larson in a three-way August 11 primary alongside Jillian Gilchrest, but internal competition poses little general election risk. Upsets could arise from a high-profile Republican recruit, nominee scandal, or national Republican wave, though structural advantages make these unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$2,000종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 1st Congressional District, a longtime Democratic stronghold with Cook Partisan Voting Index leaning heavily Democratic and historical margins exceeding 30 points for Rep. John Larson since 1999, drives trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 92.5%. The district's urban core around Hartford favors Democrats amid weak Republican opposition, with no prominent GOP candidate declared ahead of the June filing deadline. Recent May 11 Democratic convention saw former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin narrowly secure party endorsement over Larson in a three-way August 11 primary alongside Jillian Gilchrest, but internal competition poses little general election risk. Upsets could arise from a high-profile Republican recruit, nominee scandal, or national Republican wave, though structural advantages make these unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,000종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut's 1st Congressional District, a longtime Democratic stronghold with Cook Partisan Voting Index leaning heavily Democratic and historical margins exceeding 30 points for Rep. John Larson since 1999, drives trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 92.5%. The district's urban core around Hartford favors Democrats amid weak Republican opposition, with no prominent GOP candidate declared ahead of the June filing deadline. Recent May 11 Democratic convention saw former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin narrowly secure party endorsement over Larson in a three-way August 11 primary alongside Jillian Gilchrest, but internal competition poses little general election risk. Upsets could arise from a high-profile Republican recruit, nominee scandal, or national Republican wave, though structural advantages make these unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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