Recent polling from AtlasIntel/Focus and Datafolha has positioned former governor Ciro Gomes ahead of or nearly tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round and runoff scenarios for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, reflecting trader consensus on Ciro's stronger positioning. Ciro's May 2026 decision to forgo a presidential bid and focus on the state race, combined with alliances including the PSDB to challenge the PT incumbent, has reinforced his frontrunner status amid regional economic and political dynamics. Elmano benefits from incumbency and PT organizational strength in the Northeast but trails in recent surveys. Lower-probability candidates like Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão show minimal movement, consistent with limited polling traction this far from the first round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
카밀루 산타나 1.5%
Roberto Cláudio 1.4%
$86,702 거래량
$86,702 거래량
2026.10.04
Ciro Gomes
63%
Elmano de Freitas
30%
카밀루 산타나
2%
Roberto Cláudio
1%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
카밀루 산타나 1.5%
Roberto Cláudio 1.4%
$86,702 거래량
$86,702 거래량
2026.10.04
Ciro Gomes
$51,451 거래량
63%
Elmano de Freitas
$13,824 거래량
30%
카밀루 산타나
$4,751 거래량
2%
Roberto Cláudio
$4,920 거래량
1%
Eduardo Girão
$5,317 거래량
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$6,440 거래량
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from AtlasIntel/Focus and Datafolha has positioned former governor Ciro Gomes ahead of or nearly tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round and runoff scenarios for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, reflecting trader consensus on Ciro's stronger positioning. Ciro's May 2026 decision to forgo a presidential bid and focus on the state race, combined with alliances including the PSDB to challenge the PT incumbent, has reinforced his frontrunner status amid regional economic and political dynamics. Elmano benefits from incumbency and PT organizational strength in the Northeast but trails in recent surveys. Lower-probability candidates like Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão show minimal movement, consistent with limited polling traction this far from the first round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
거래량
$86,702종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from AtlasIntel/Focus and Datafolha has positioned former governor Ciro Gomes ahead of or nearly tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round and runoff scenarios for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, reflecting trader consensus on Ciro's stronger positioning. Ciro's May 2026 decision to forgo a presidential bid and focus on the state race, combined with alliances including the PSDB to challenge the PT incumbent, has reinforced his frontrunner status amid regional economic and political dynamics. Elmano benefits from incumbency and PT organizational strength in the Northeast but trails in recent surveys. Lower-probability candidates like Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão show minimal movement, consistent with limited polling traction this far from the first round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$86,702종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from AtlasIntel/Focus and Datafolha has positioned former governor Ciro Gomes ahead of or nearly tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round and runoff scenarios for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, reflecting trader consensus on Ciro's stronger positioning. Ciro's May 2026 decision to forgo a presidential bid and focus on the state race, combined with alliances including the PSDB to challenge the PT incumbent, has reinforced his frontrunner status amid regional economic and political dynamics. Elmano benefits from incumbency and PT organizational strength in the Northeast but trails in recent surveys. Lower-probability candidates like Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão show minimal movement, consistent with limited polling traction this far from the first round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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