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Capital gains tax increase before election day?

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Capital gains tax increase before election day?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$59,611 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$59,611 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by Nov 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET a bill is signed into law in the U.S. which effectively increases the top net long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals to a rate higher than 20%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note: if a bill has the effect of treating net long-term capital gains as ordinary income, and the top rate on the income is above 20%, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Surtaxes or other modifications to what is considered long-term capital gains will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
볼륨
$59,611
종료일
Nov 4, 2024
생성일
Apr 25, 2024, 12:10 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by Nov 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET a bill is signed into law in the U.S. which effectively increases the top net long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals to a rate higher than 20%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note: if a bill has the effect of treating net long-term capital gains as ordinary income, and the top rate on the income is above 20%, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Surtaxes or other modifications to what is considered long-term capital gains will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by Nov 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET a bill is signed into law in the U.S. which effectively increases the top net long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals to a rate higher than 20%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note: if a bill has the effect of treating net long-term capital gains as ordinary income, and the top rate on the income is above 20%, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Surtaxes or other modifications to what is considered long-term capital gains will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
볼륨
$59,611
종료일
Nov 4, 2024
생성일
Apr 25, 2024, 12:10 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by Nov 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET a bill is signed into law in the U.S. which effectively increases the top net long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals to a rate higher than 20%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note: if a bill has the effect of treating net long-term capital gains as ordinary income, and the top rate on the income is above 20%, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Surtaxes or other modifications to what is considered long-term capital gains will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Capital gains tax increase before election day?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Capital gains tax increase before election day?" has generated $59.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 25, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Capital gains tax increase before election day?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Capital gains tax increase before election day?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Capital gains tax increase before election day?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.