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6월 30일까지 FrontierMath 벤치마크에서 Google Gemini 점수를 받으시겠습니까?

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6월 30일까지 FrontierMath 벤치마크에서 Google Gemini 점수를 받으시겠습니까?

$67,955 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$67,955 Vol.

Polymarket

40%+

$11,357 Vol.

92%

45%+

$22,614 Vol.

35%

50% 이상

$14,622 Vol.

25%

60%+

$19,362 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
볼륨
$67,955
종료일
Jun 30, 2026
생성일
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"6월 30일까지 FrontierMath 벤치마크에서 Google Gemini 점수를 받으시겠습니까?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40%+" at 92%, followed by "45%+" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "6월 30일까지 FrontierMath 벤치마크에서 Google Gemini 점수를 받으시겠습니까?" has generated $68K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "6월 30일까지 FrontierMath 벤치마크에서 Google Gemini 점수를 받으시겠습니까?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "6월 30일까지 FrontierMath 벤치마크에서 Google Gemini 점수를 받으시겠습니까?" is "40%+" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "45%+" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "6월 30일까지 FrontierMath 벤치마크에서 Google Gemini 점수를 받으시겠습니까?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.