Trader consensus on the "Services Down Parlay" market reflects near-certainty at 98.3% for "No," as the March 31, 2026, deadline passed over a month ago without all required critical incidents occurring across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. AWS logged "disrupted" severity events on its Health Dashboard, including March us-east-1 impairments affecting EC2, S3, and DynamoDB, but Discord's March voice and messaging issues appear classified as Major (orange) rather than Critical (red) on discordstatus.com, while Cloudflare's February outage did not finalize as Critical upon resolution per cloudflarestatus.com. No qualifying incidents have emerged since, solidifying the wisdom-of-crowds assessment. Realistic risks include delayed oracle resolution from incident review or rare post-period classification revisions, though administrative hurdles are more likely than outcome reversal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$14,290 거래량
$14,290 거래량
2026.03.31
예
$14,290 거래량
$14,290 거래량
2026.03.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on the "Services Down Parlay" market reflects near-certainty at 98.3% for "No," as the March 31, 2026, deadline passed over a month ago without all required critical incidents occurring across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. AWS logged "disrupted" severity events on its Health Dashboard, including March us-east-1 impairments affecting EC2, S3, and DynamoDB, but Discord's March voice and messaging issues appear classified as Major (orange) rather than Critical (red) on discordstatus.com, while Cloudflare's February outage did not finalize as Critical upon resolution per cloudflarestatus.com. No qualifying incidents have emerged since, solidifying the wisdom-of-crowds assessment. Realistic risks include delayed oracle resolution from incident review or rare post-period classification revisions, though administrative hurdles are more likely than outcome reversal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
거래량
$14,290종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on the "Services Down Parlay" market reflects near-certainty at 98.3% for "No," as the March 31, 2026, deadline passed over a month ago without all required critical incidents occurring across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. AWS logged "disrupted" severity events on its Health Dashboard, including March us-east-1 impairments affecting EC2, S3, and DynamoDB, but Discord's March voice and messaging issues appear classified as Major (orange) rather than Critical (red) on discordstatus.com, while Cloudflare's February outage did not finalize as Critical upon resolution per cloudflarestatus.com. No qualifying incidents have emerged since, solidifying the wisdom-of-crowds assessment. Realistic risks include delayed oracle resolution from incident review or rare post-period classification revisions, though administrative hurdles are more likely than outcome reversal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
거래량
$14,290종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the "Services Down Parlay" market reflects near-certainty at 98.3% for "No," as the March 31, 2026, deadline passed over a month ago without all required critical incidents occurring across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. AWS logged "disrupted" severity events on its Health Dashboard, including March us-east-1 impairments affecting EC2, S3, and DynamoDB, but Discord's March voice and messaging issues appear classified as Major (orange) rather than Critical (red) on discordstatus.com, while Cloudflare's February outage did not finalize as Critical upon resolution per cloudflarestatus.com. No qualifying incidents have emerged since, solidifying the wisdom-of-crowds assessment. Realistic risks include delayed oracle resolution from incident review or rare post-period classification revisions, though administrative hurdles are more likely than outcome reversal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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