Democratic incumbent Adam Gray holds a clear edge in California's 13th congressional district, where his 2024 general-election victory by just 187 votes established a narrow but durable base in Merced County and surrounding Central Valley communities. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, which features two Democratic and two Republican contenders. Gray's ability to outperform the statewide Democratic ticket in 2024 continues to shape trader assessments of his general-election prospects against likely Republican finalists. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape, leaving the 70 percent Democratic consensus driven primarily by incumbency and the district's recent voting patterns rather than fresh polling shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
69%
Republican Party
25%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$805 거래량
69%
Republican Party
$1,315 거래량
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Adam Gray holds a clear edge in California's 13th congressional district, where his 2024 general-election victory by just 187 votes established a narrow but durable base in Merced County and surrounding Central Valley communities. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, which features two Democratic and two Republican contenders. Gray's ability to outperform the statewide Democratic ticket in 2024 continues to shape trader assessments of his general-election prospects against likely Republican finalists. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape, leaving the 70 percent Democratic consensus driven primarily by incumbency and the district's recent voting patterns rather than fresh polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
거래량
$2,120종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Adam Gray holds a clear edge in California's 13th congressional district, where his 2024 general-election victory by just 187 votes established a narrow but durable base in Merced County and surrounding Central Valley communities. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, which features two Democratic and two Republican contenders. Gray's ability to outperform the statewide Democratic ticket in 2024 continues to shape trader assessments of his general-election prospects against likely Republican finalists. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape, leaving the 70 percent Democratic consensus driven primarily by incumbency and the district's recent voting patterns rather than fresh polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,120종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Adam Gray holds a clear edge in California's 13th congressional district, where his 2024 general-election victory by just 187 votes established a narrow but durable base in Merced County and surrounding Central Valley communities. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, which features two Democratic and two Republican contenders. Gray's ability to outperform the statewide Democratic ticket in 2024 continues to shape trader assessments of his general-election prospects against likely Republican finalists. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape, leaving the 70 percent Democratic consensus driven primarily by incumbency and the district's recent voting patterns rather than fresh polling shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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