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선거·House Primary

CA-06 Primary Winners

icon for CA-06 Primary Winners
선거·House Primary

CA-06 Primary Winners

$5,749 거래량

2026.06.02
Polymarket

$5,749 거래량

Polymarket

Kevin Kiley

$622 거래량

98%

Richard Pan

$265 거래량

82%

Michael Stansfield

$1,258 거래량

15%

Lauren Babb Tomlinson

$1,014 거래량

3%

Tyler Vandenberg

$692 거래량

3%

Martha Guerrero

$585 거래량

3%

Thien Ho

$1,314 거래량

48%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The June 2 nonpartisan primary in California’s newly redrawn 6th Congressional District, which incorporates Sacramento and northeastern suburbs, features former Republican Rep. Kevin Kiley running as an independent after redistricting shifted the seat’s composition. He competes against a crowded Democratic field that includes former state Sen. and physician Richard Pan, Sacramento County District Attorney Thien Ho, women’s health executive Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and West Sacramento Mayor Martha Guerrero, along with Republican Michael Stansfield. Under the state’s top-two primary rules, the two highest vote-getters advance to the November general election irrespective of party affiliation. Early returns place Kiley in the lead, followed closely by Stansfield and Pan, with final certified results determining the general election pairing amid ongoing vote counting.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$5,749
종료일
2026.06.02
마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The June 2 nonpartisan primary in California’s newly redrawn 6th Congressional District, which incorporates Sacramento and northeastern suburbs, features former Republican Rep. Kevin Kiley running as an independent after redistricting shifted the seat’s composition. He competes against a crowded Democratic field that includes former state Sen. and physician Richard Pan, Sacramento County District Attorney Thien Ho, women’s health executive Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and West Sacramento Mayor Martha Guerrero, along with Republican Michael Stansfield. Under the state’s top-two primary rules, the two highest vote-getters advance to the November general election irrespective of party affiliation. Early returns place Kiley in the lead, followed closely by Stansfield and Pan, with final certified results determining the general election pairing amid ongoing vote counting.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$5,749
종료일
2026.06.02
마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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자주 묻는 질문

"CA-06 Primary Winners"은 7개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 98%의 "Kevin Kiley"이며, 이어서 82%의 "Richard Pan"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 98¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 98%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"CA-06 Primary Winners"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Apr 22, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"CA-06 Primary Winners"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 7개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"CA-06 Primary Winners"의 현재 유력 후보는 98%의 "Kevin Kiley"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 98%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 82%의 "Richard Pan"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"CA-06 Primary Winners"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.