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50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?

Market icon

50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$152,410 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$152,410 Vol.

On May 25, President Donald Trump announced an extension on the 50% tariff deadline on the European Union until July 9.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 50% general tariff on imports from the European Union into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between May 26, 2025, and July 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the 50% tariff, as announced by the Trump administration, must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

A general tariff greater than 50% will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Only the 50% general EU tariff will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or specific goods (e.g., autos, steel, olive oil) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
볼륨
$152,410
종료일
Jul 9, 2025
생성일
May 26, 2025, 12:17 PM ET
On May 25, President Donald Trump announced an extension on the 50% tariff deadline on the European Union until July 9. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 50% general tariff on imports from the European Union into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between May 26, 2025, and July 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the 50% tariff, as announced by the Trump administration, must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff greater than 50% will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Only the 50% general EU tariff will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or specific goods (e.g., autos, steel, olive oil) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

On May 25, President Donald Trump announced an extension on the 50% tariff deadline on the European Union until July 9.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 50% general tariff on imports from the European Union into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between May 26, 2025, and July 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the 50% tariff, as announced by the Trump administration, must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

A general tariff greater than 50% will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Only the 50% general EU tariff will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or specific goods (e.g., autos, steel, olive oil) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
볼륨
$152,410
종료일
Jul 9, 2025
생성일
May 26, 2025, 12:17 PM ET
On May 25, President Donald Trump announced an extension on the 50% tariff deadline on the European Union until July 9. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 50% general tariff on imports from the European Union into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between May 26, 2025, and July 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the 50% tariff, as announced by the Trump administration, must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff greater than 50% will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Only the 50% general EU tariff will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or specific goods (e.g., autos, steel, olive oil) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?" has generated $152.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.