Rr55

参加しました 11月 2024·14.1K views

Bet small, panic big

$49.5K

ポジション値

$3,678.86

最大の勝利

1,682

予測

損益

-$413.64

過去1日

現在

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

No 93.3¢

4,443.1 株

93.3¢

98.3¢

$4,365.39$222.16 (5.36%)

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

No 93.3¢

4,443.1 株

$4,365.39$222.16 (5.36%)

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 60.9¢

5,278.9 株

60.9¢

71¢

$3,747.99$531.91 (16.54%)

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 60.9¢

5,278.9 株

$3,747.99$531.91 (16.54%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 96¢

3,475.3 株

96¢

91.8¢

$3,188.60-$147.41 (-4.42%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 96¢

3,475.3 株

$3,188.60-$147.41 (-4.42%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 86.8¢

3,038.7 株

86.8¢

92.5¢

$2,810.84$173.72 (6.59%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 86.8¢

3,038.7 株

$2,810.84$173.72 (6.59%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

No 96¢

2,400.0 株

96¢

97.3¢

$2,334.00$29.60 (1.28%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

No 96¢

2,400.0 株

$2,334.00$29.60 (1.28%)

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 94.3¢

1,593.4 株

94.3¢

94.4¢

$1,503.40$1.20 (0.08%)

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 94.3¢

1,593.4 株

$1,503.40$1.20 (0.08%)

Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 86.9¢

1,466.6 株

86.9¢

95.7¢

$1,403.50$129.06 (10.13%)

Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 86.9¢

1,466.6 株

$1,403.50$129.06 (10.13%)

Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?

No 91.5¢

1,421.0 株

91.5¢

98.6¢

$1,400.40$100.88 (7.76%)

Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?

No 91.5¢

1,421.0 株

$1,400.40$100.88 (7.76%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 88.5¢

1,510.0 株

88.5¢

92.5¢

$1,396.74$60.55 (4.53%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 88.5¢

1,510.0 株

$1,396.74$60.55 (4.53%)

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 91¢

1,357.0 株

91¢

93.8¢

$1,272.82$37.58 (3.04%)

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 91¢

1,357.0 株

$1,272.82$37.58 (3.04%)

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

No 89.8¢

1,368.1 株

89.8¢

90.6¢

$1,239.49$10.90 (0.89%)

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

No 89.8¢

1,368.1 株

$1,239.49$10.90 (0.89%)

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 64.1¢

1,710.0 株

64.1¢

65.5¢

$1,120.05$23.05 (2.1%)

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 64.1¢

1,710.0 株

$1,120.05$23.05 (2.1%)

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

No 97.7¢

1,064.2 株

97.7¢

99.1¢

$1,054.58$14.99 (1.44%)

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

No 97.7¢

1,064.2 株

$1,054.58$14.99 (1.44%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 96.5¢

1,060.0 株

96.5¢

99¢

$1,048.86$26.39 (2.58%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 96.5¢

1,060.0 株

$1,048.86$26.39 (2.58%)

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.5¢

1,000.0 株

98.5¢

98.7¢

$986.50$1.50 (0.15%)

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.5¢

1,000.0 株

$986.50$1.50 (0.15%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 72.2¢

1,230.0 株

72.2¢

75.5¢

$928.65$40.15 (4.52%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 72.2¢

1,230.0 株

$928.65$40.15 (4.52%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 71.7¢

1,508.3 株

71.7¢

61¢

$920.07-$161.87 (-14.96%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 71.7¢

1,508.3 株

$920.07-$161.87 (-14.96%)

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

No 96.5¢

900.0 株

96.5¢

98.9¢

$889.65$20.85 (2.4%)

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

No 96.5¢

900.0 株

$889.65$20.85 (2.4%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 81.5¢

1,010.0 株

81.5¢

84.5¢

$853.45$30.35 (3.69%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 81.5¢

1,010.0 株

$853.45$30.35 (3.69%)

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

No 93.2¢

900.0 株

93.2¢

94.5¢

$850.50$11.50 (1.37%)

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

No 93.2¢

900.0 株

$850.50$11.50 (1.37%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89¢

900.0 株

89¢

90.5¢

$814.51$13.50 (1.69%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89¢

900.0 株

$814.51$13.50 (1.69%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 92¢

810.0 株

92¢

90.5¢

$733.05-$12.05 (-1.62%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 92¢

810.0 株

$733.05-$12.05 (-1.62%)

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

No 84.9¢

700.0 株

84.9¢

96.4¢

$674.80$80.83 (13.61%)

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

No 84.9¢

700.0 株

$674.80$80.83 (13.61%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 75.3¢

820.0 株

75.3¢

81.5¢

$668.22$50.82 (8.23%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 75.3¢

820.0 株

$668.22$50.82 (8.23%)

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 52.7¢

986.5 株

52.7¢

67.5¢

$665.92$145.54 (27.97%)

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 52.7¢

986.5 株

$665.92$145.54 (27.97%)

Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?

No 94.6¢

633.5 株

94.6¢

98.1¢

$621.44$21.92 (3.66%)

Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?

No 94.6¢

633.5 株

$621.44$21.92 (3.66%)

Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?

No 97.8¢

560.0 株

97.8¢

98.7¢

$552.72$4.89 (0.89%)

Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?

No 97.8¢

560.0 株

$552.72$4.89 (0.89%)

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 89.1¢

720.0 株

89.1¢

76.6¢

$551.52-$89.95 (-14.02%)

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 89.1¢

720.0 株

$551.52-$89.95 (-14.02%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 82.1¢

600.0 株

82.1¢

83.5¢

$501.00$8.68 (1.76%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 82.1¢

600.0 株

$501.00$8.68 (1.76%)

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

No 93.3¢

4,443.1 株

93.3¢

98.3¢

$4,365.39$222.16 (5.36%)

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

No 93.3¢

4,443.1 株

$4,365.39$222.16 (5.36%)

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 60.9¢

5,278.9 株

60.9¢

71¢

$3,747.99$531.91 (16.54%)

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 60.9¢

5,278.9 株

$3,747.99$531.91 (16.54%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 96¢

3,475.3 株

96¢

91.8¢

$3,188.60-$147.41 (-4.42%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 96¢

3,475.3 株

$3,188.60-$147.41 (-4.42%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 86.8¢

3,038.7 株

86.8¢

92.5¢

$2,810.84$173.72 (6.59%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 86.8¢

3,038.7 株

$2,810.84$173.72 (6.59%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

No 96¢

2,400.0 株

96¢

97.3¢

$2,334.00$29.60 (1.28%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

No 96¢

2,400.0 株

$2,334.00$29.60 (1.28%)

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 94.3¢

1,593.4 株

94.3¢

94.4¢

$1,503.40$1.20 (0.08%)

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 94.3¢

1,593.4 株

$1,503.40$1.20 (0.08%)

Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 86.9¢

1,466.6 株

86.9¢

95.7¢

$1,403.50$129.06 (10.13%)

Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 86.9¢

1,466.6 株

$1,403.50$129.06 (10.13%)

Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?

No 91.5¢

1,421.0 株

91.5¢

98.6¢

$1,400.40$100.88 (7.76%)

Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?

No 91.5¢

1,421.0 株

$1,400.40$100.88 (7.76%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 88.5¢

1,510.0 株

88.5¢

92.5¢

$1,396.74$60.55 (4.53%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 88.5¢

1,510.0 株

$1,396.74$60.55 (4.53%)

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 91¢

1,357.0 株

91¢

93.8¢

$1,272.82$37.58 (3.04%)

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 91¢

1,357.0 株

$1,272.82$37.58 (3.04%)

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

No 89.8¢

1,368.1 株

89.8¢

90.6¢

$1,239.49$10.90 (0.89%)

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

No 89.8¢

1,368.1 株

$1,239.49$10.90 (0.89%)

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 64.1¢

1,710.0 株

64.1¢

65.5¢

$1,120.05$23.05 (2.1%)

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 64.1¢

1,710.0 株

$1,120.05$23.05 (2.1%)

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

No 97.7¢

1,064.2 株

97.7¢

99.1¢

$1,054.58$14.99 (1.44%)

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

No 97.7¢

1,064.2 株

$1,054.58$14.99 (1.44%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 96.5¢

1,060.0 株

96.5¢

99¢

$1,048.86$26.39 (2.58%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 96.5¢

1,060.0 株

$1,048.86$26.39 (2.58%)

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.5¢

1,000.0 株

98.5¢

98.7¢

$986.50$1.50 (0.15%)

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.5¢

1,000.0 株

$986.50$1.50 (0.15%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 72.2¢

1,230.0 株

72.2¢

75.5¢

$928.65$40.15 (4.52%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 72.2¢

1,230.0 株

$928.65$40.15 (4.52%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 71.7¢

1,508.3 株

71.7¢

61¢

$920.07-$161.87 (-14.96%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 71.7¢

1,508.3 株

$920.07-$161.87 (-14.96%)

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

No 96.5¢

900.0 株

96.5¢

98.9¢

$889.65$20.85 (2.4%)

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

No 96.5¢

900.0 株

$889.65$20.85 (2.4%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 81.5¢

1,010.0 株

81.5¢

84.5¢

$853.45$30.35 (3.69%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 81.5¢

1,010.0 株

$853.45$30.35 (3.69%)

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

No 93.2¢

900.0 株

93.2¢

94.5¢

$850.50$11.50 (1.37%)

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

No 93.2¢

900.0 株

$850.50$11.50 (1.37%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89¢

900.0 株

89¢

90.5¢

$814.51$13.50 (1.69%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89¢

900.0 株

$814.51$13.50 (1.69%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 92¢

810.0 株

92¢

90.5¢

$733.05-$12.05 (-1.62%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 92¢

810.0 株

$733.05-$12.05 (-1.62%)

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

No 84.9¢

700.0 株

84.9¢

96.4¢

$674.80$80.83 (13.61%)

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

No 84.9¢

700.0 株

$674.80$80.83 (13.61%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 75.3¢

820.0 株

75.3¢

81.5¢

$668.22$50.82 (8.23%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 75.3¢

820.0 株

$668.22$50.82 (8.23%)

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 52.7¢

986.5 株

52.7¢

67.5¢

$665.92$145.54 (27.97%)

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 52.7¢

986.5 株

$665.92$145.54 (27.97%)

Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?

No 94.6¢

633.5 株

94.6¢

98.1¢

$621.44$21.92 (3.66%)

Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?

No 94.6¢

633.5 株

$621.44$21.92 (3.66%)

Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?

No 97.8¢

560.0 株

97.8¢

98.7¢

$552.72$4.89 (0.89%)

Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?

No 97.8¢

560.0 株

$552.72$4.89 (0.89%)

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 89.1¢

720.0 株

89.1¢

76.6¢

$551.52-$89.95 (-14.02%)

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 89.1¢

720.0 株

$551.52-$89.95 (-14.02%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 82.1¢

600.0 株

82.1¢

83.5¢

$501.00$8.68 (1.76%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 82.1¢

600.0 株

$501.00$8.68 (1.76%)