Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5% implied probability for Valve releasing CS2's first operation by April 1, driven by the complete absence of any official announcement, teaser, or datamined hints in recent patches despite years of community demand since the 2023 launch. March 2026 updates, including the March 18 reloading refactor, X-Ray Scanner rollout, and Dead Hand Collection terminal drops, have focused on core gameplay tweaks, anti-cheat enhancements, and Armory Pass progression rather than operation staples like co-op Strike missions, new maps, or agents. With just days remaining, Valve's pattern of sporadic, unheralded drops leaves slim upset potential via a surprise patch, but historical delays around Majors and Premier seasons reinforce the market's firm skepticism.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve releases an operation to CS2 by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include:
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5% implied probability for Valve releasing CS2's first operation by April 1, driven by the complete absence of any official announcement, teaser, or datamined hints in recent patches despite years of community demand since the 2023 launch. March 2026 updates, including the March 18 reloading refactor, X-Ray Scanner rollout, and Dead Hand Collection terminal drops, have focused on core gameplay tweaks, anti-cheat enhancements, and Armory Pass progression rather than operation staples like co-op Strike missions, new maps, or agents. With just days remaining, Valve's pattern of sporadic, unheralded drops leaves slim upset potential via a surprise patch, but historical delays around Majors and Premier seasons reinforce the market's firm skepticism.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve releases an operation to CS2 by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include:
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include:
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 4, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$2,525終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve releases an operation to CS2 by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include:
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5% implied probability for Valve releasing CS2's first operation by April 1, driven by the complete absence of any official announcement, teaser, or datamined hints in recent patches despite years of community demand since the 2023 launch. March 2026 updates, including the March 18 reloading refactor, X-Ray Scanner rollout, and Dead Hand Collection terminal drops, have focused on core gameplay tweaks, anti-cheat enhancements, and Armory Pass progression rather than operation staples like co-op Strike missions, new maps, or agents. With just days remaining, Valve's pattern of sporadic, unheralded drops leaves slim upset potential via a surprise patch, but historical delays around Majors and Premier seasons reinforce the market's firm skepticism.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve releases an operation to CS2 by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include:
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include:
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,525終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5% implied probability for Valve releasing CS2's first operation by April 1, driven by the complete absence of any official announcement, teaser, or datamined hints in recent patches despite years of community demand since the 2023 launch. March 2026 updates, including the March 18 reloading refactor, X-Ray Scanner rollout, and Dead Hand Collection terminal drops, have focused on core gameplay tweaks, anti-cheat enhancements, and Armory Pass progression rather than operation staples like co-op Strike missions, new maps, or agents. With just days remaining, Valve's pattern of sporadic, unheralded drops leaves slim upset potential via a surprise patch, but historical delays around Majors and Premier seasons reinforce the market's firm skepticism.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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