Trader consensus prices No at 97.3% implied probability for Valve releasing CS2's first operation by April 1, 2026, driven by over a year of silence since the game's September 2023 launch amid focus on Major tournaments, anti-cheat overhauls like VAC Live, and iterative patches for maps and Premier mode. Recent developments, including preparations for the Perfect World Shanghai Major in November 2024 and Arms Deal 2 skin drops without operation ties, underscore Valve's irregular update cadence rather than the structured event passes of CS:GO era. Absent any roadmap or leaks signaling development, high confidence persists, though a surprise announcement, dev blog, or community petition breakthrough could prompt rapid odds shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve releases an operation to CS2 by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include:
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices No at 97.3% implied probability for Valve releasing CS2's first operation by April 1, 2026, driven by over a year of silence since the game's September 2023 launch amid focus on Major tournaments, anti-cheat overhauls like VAC Live, and iterative patches for maps and Premier mode. Recent developments, including preparations for the Perfect World Shanghai Major in November 2024 and Arms Deal 2 skin drops without operation ties, underscore Valve's irregular update cadence rather than the structured event passes of CS:GO era. Absent any roadmap or leaks signaling development, high confidence persists, though a surprise announcement, dev blog, or community petition breakthrough could prompt rapid odds shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve releases an operation to CS2 by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include:
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include:
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 4, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$2,525終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve releases an operation to CS2 by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include:
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices No at 97.3% implied probability for Valve releasing CS2's first operation by April 1, 2026, driven by over a year of silence since the game's September 2023 launch amid focus on Major tournaments, anti-cheat overhauls like VAC Live, and iterative patches for maps and Premier mode. Recent developments, including preparations for the Perfect World Shanghai Major in November 2024 and Arms Deal 2 skin drops without operation ties, underscore Valve's irregular update cadence rather than the structured event passes of CS:GO era. Absent any roadmap or leaks signaling development, high confidence persists, though a surprise announcement, dev blog, or community petition breakthrough could prompt rapid odds shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve releases an operation to CS2 by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include:
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include:
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,525終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices No at 97.3% implied probability for Valve releasing CS2's first operation by April 1, 2026, driven by over a year of silence since the game's September 2023 launch amid focus on Major tournaments, anti-cheat overhauls like VAC Live, and iterative patches for maps and Premier mode. Recent developments, including preparations for the Perfect World Shanghai Major in November 2024 and Arms Deal 2 skin drops without operation ties, underscore Valve's irregular update cadence rather than the structured event passes of CS:GO era. Absent any roadmap or leaks signaling development, high confidence persists, though a surprise announcement, dev blog, or community petition breakthrough could prompt rapid odds shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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