Traders' overwhelming consensus at 97% against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Dilling by March 31 stems from the paramilitary group's stalled offensive in South Kordofan despite early gains. Over the past week, RSF forces have encircled the town and clashed with Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) defenders, but made no breakthroughs into Dilling proper, hampered by supply line strains, SAF airstrikes, and local tribal support for government troops. Since mid-March, RSF captured nearby Al-Abassiya and advanced from Darfur, yet core SAF positions hold firm amid Sudan's protracted civil war. With days remaining, only a dramatic RSF surge or SAF collapse could shift odds, though logistical barriers and reinforcements favor continuation of the status quo.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Dilling (https://maps.app.goo.gl/Y6TG54DDYXMKvFRaA) by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "City courthouse" (محكمة مدينة الدلنج: https://maps.app.goo.gl/K5Zd9883b7XS8oEa6) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Traders' overwhelming consensus at 97% against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Dilling by March 31 stems from the paramilitary group's stalled offensive in South Kordofan despite early gains. Over the past week, RSF forces have encircled the town and clashed with Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) defenders, but made no breakthroughs into Dilling proper, hampered by supply line strains, SAF airstrikes, and local tribal support for government troops. Since mid-March, RSF captured nearby Al-Abassiya and advanced from Darfur, yet core SAF positions hold firm amid Sudan's protracted civil war. With days remaining, only a dramatic RSF surge or SAF collapse could shift odds, though logistical barriers and reinforcements favor continuation of the status quo.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Dilling (https://maps.app.goo.gl/Y6TG54DDYXMKvFRaA) by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "City courthouse" (محكمة مدينة الدلنج: https://maps.app.goo.gl/K5Zd9883b7XS8oEa6) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "City courthouse" (محكمة مدينة الدلنج: https://maps.app.goo.gl/K5Zd9883b7XS8oEa6) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Dilling (https://maps.app.goo.gl/Y6TG54DDYXMKvFRaA) by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "City courthouse" (محكمة مدينة الدلنج: https://maps.app.goo.gl/K5Zd9883b7XS8oEa6) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Traders' overwhelming consensus at 97% against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Dilling by March 31 stems from the paramilitary group's stalled offensive in South Kordofan despite early gains. Over the past week, RSF forces have encircled the town and clashed with Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) defenders, but made no breakthroughs into Dilling proper, hampered by supply line strains, SAF airstrikes, and local tribal support for government troops. Since mid-March, RSF captured nearby Al-Abassiya and advanced from Darfur, yet core SAF positions hold firm amid Sudan's protracted civil war. With days remaining, only a dramatic RSF surge or SAF collapse could shift odds, though logistical barriers and reinforcements favor continuation of the status quo.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Dilling (https://maps.app.goo.gl/Y6TG54DDYXMKvFRaA) by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "City courthouse" (محكمة مدينة الدلنج: https://maps.app.goo.gl/K5Zd9883b7XS8oEa6) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "City courthouse" (محكمة مدينة الدلنج: https://maps.app.goo.gl/K5Zd9883b7XS8oEa6) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
音量
$0終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' overwhelming consensus at 97% against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Dilling by March 31 stems from the paramilitary group's stalled offensive in South Kordofan despite early gains. Over the past week, RSF forces have encircled the town and clashed with Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) defenders, but made no breakthroughs into Dilling proper, hampered by supply line strains, SAF airstrikes, and local tribal support for government troops. Since mid-March, RSF captured nearby Al-Abassiya and advanced from Darfur, yet core SAF positions hold firm amid Sudan's protracted civil war. With days remaining, only a dramatic RSF surge or SAF collapse could shift odds, though logistical barriers and reinforcements favor continuation of the status quo.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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