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2026年に習近平は誰を粛清するのか?

Market icon

2026年に習近平は誰を粛清するのか?

$74,585 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$74,585 Vol.

Polymarket

董軍

$8,443 Vol.

16%

蔡奇

$22,792 Vol.

9%

丁薛祥

$0 Vol.

8%

張昇民

$10,445 Vol.

8%

李希

$14,809 Vol.

6%

王滬寧

$4,323 Vol.

5%

王毅

$7,814 Vol.

4%

李強

$0 Vol.

4%

趙楽際

$5,958 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven an unprecedented purge of People's Liberation Army (PLA) leaders in 2026, with Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission Zhang Youxia—once a close ally—placed under investigation in January, alongside expulsions like General He Weidong. The March Two Sessions highlighted the scope, featuring absences of senior officials including Politburo member Ma Xingrui, removal of multiple generals from advisory bodies, and revocation of 19 National People's Congress deputies' qualifications. Xi publicly referenced the military crackdown in February, emphasizing loyalty amid reports of over 50 generals targeted since late 2025. Traders monitor Central Commission for Discipline Inspection probes and potential Politburo fallout, as opaque party dynamics leave outcomes unpredictable through year-end.

Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven an unprecedented purge of People's Liberation Army (PLA) leaders in 2026, with Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission Zhang Youxia—once a close ally—placed under investigation in January, alongside expulsions like General He Weidong. The March Two Sessions highlighted the scope, featuring absences of senior officials including Politburo member Ma Xingrui, removal of multiple generals from advisory bodies, and revocation of 19 National People's Congress deputies' qualifications. Xi publicly referenced the military crackdown in February, emphasizing loyalty amid reports of over 50 generals targeted since late 2025. Traders monitor Central Commission for Discipline Inspection probes and potential Politburo fallout, as opaque party dynamics leave outcomes unpredictable through year-end.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven an unprecedented purge of People's Liberation Army (PLA) leaders in 2026, with Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission Zhang Youxia—once a close ally—placed under investigation in January, alongside expulsions like General He Weidong. The March Two Sessions highlighted the scope, featuring absences of senior officials including Politburo member Ma Xingrui, removal of multiple generals from advisory bodies, and revocation of 19 National People's Congress deputies' qualifications. Xi publicly referenced the military crackdown in February, emphasizing loyalty amid reports of over 50 generals targeted since late 2025. Traders monitor Central Commission for Discipline Inspection probes and potential Politburo fallout, as opaque party dynamics leave outcomes unpredictable through year-end.

Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven an unprecedented purge of People's Liberation Army (PLA) leaders in 2026, with Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission Zhang Youxia—once a close ally—placed under investigation in January, alongside expulsions like General He Weidong. The March Two Sessions highlighted the scope, featuring absences of senior officials including Politburo member Ma Xingrui, removal of multiple generals from advisory bodies, and revocation of 19 National People's Congress deputies' qualifications. Xi publicly referenced the military crackdown in February, emphasizing loyalty amid reports of over 50 generals targeted since late 2025. Traders monitor Central Commission for Discipline Inspection probes and potential Politburo fallout, as opaque party dynamics leave outcomes unpredictable through year-end.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「2026年に習近平は誰を粛清するのか?」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「董軍」で17%、次いで「蔡奇」が9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、17¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に17%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年に習近平は誰を粛清するのか?」は$74.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 29, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年に習近平は誰を粛清するのか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年に習近平は誰を粛清するのか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「董軍」で17%であり、市場がこの結果に17%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「蔡奇」で9%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年に習近平は誰を粛清するのか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。