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2026年のフィールドメダルを獲得するのは誰ですか？

Market icon

2026年のフィールドメダルを獲得するのは誰ですか？

$369,220 Vol.

2026/07/30
Polymarket

$369,220 Vol.

Polymarket

ホン・ワン

$48,431 Vol.

70%

ジェイコブ・ツィマーマン

$44,752 Vol.

63%

ユー・デン

$98,649 Vol.

56%

ジャック・ソーン

$94,121 Vol.

47%

サム・ラスキン

$27 Vol.

44%

ジョン・パードン

$78,776 Vol.

34%

ジュリアン・サハスラブデ

$0 Vol.

38%

アレクサンダー・エフィモフ

$519 Vol.

10%

アレクサンドル・ログノフ

$159 Vol.

25%

ウィル・ソーウィン

$3,785 Vol.

31%

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus for the 2026 Fields Medal hinges on recent breakthroughs by under-40 mathematicians, with Chinese prodigy Hong Wang leading buzz after co-proving the century-old three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture in 2025—a geometric measure theory milestone with implications for data processing and cryptography—earning her the Salem Prize and a permanent IHES position. Other frontrunners per math community discussions include Jacob Tsimerman (André-Oort conjecture advances), Jack Thorne (Langlands program results), John Pardon (knot theory solutions), Javier Fresán, and Sam Raskin, as profiled in VnExpress's March 2026 roundup of six prodigies. The secretive IMU committee awards 2-4 medals at ICM Philadelphia (July 23-30), despite a 1,500+ signature boycott petition over U.S. policies; precursor prizes and plenary invites signal momentum, but outcomes stay highly unpredictable.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
音量
$369,220
終了日
2026/07/30
マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus for the 2026 Fields Medal hinges on recent breakthroughs by under-40 mathematicians, with Chinese prodigy Hong Wang leading buzz after co-proving the century-old three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture in 2025—a geometric measure theory milestone with implications for data processing and cryptography—earning her the Salem Prize and a permanent IHES position. Other frontrunners per math community discussions include Jacob Tsimerman (André-Oort conjecture advances), Jack Thorne (Langlands program results), John Pardon (knot theory solutions), Javier Fresán, and Sam Raskin, as profiled in VnExpress's March 2026 roundup of six prodigies. The secretive IMU committee awards 2-4 medals at ICM Philadelphia (July 23-30), despite a 1,500+ signature boycott petition over U.S. policies; precursor prizes and plenary invites signal momentum, but outcomes stay highly unpredictable.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
音量
$369,220
終了日
2026/07/30
マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

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「2026年のフィールドメダルを獲得するのは誰ですか？」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ホン・ワン」で70%、次いで「ジェイコブ・ツィマーマン」が63%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、70¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に70%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

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「2026年のフィールドメダルを獲得するのは誰ですか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「ホン・ワン」で70%であり、市場がこの結果に70%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジェイコブ・ツィマーマン」で63%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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