Trader consensus prices Europe at 68.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's depth of elite contenders like top-ranked Spain, France, England, and Germany, who lead power rankings 100 days out and dominated qualifiers with leaders such as Germany topping groups. South America's 21.5% reflects CONMEBOL powerhouses Argentina—defending champions—and Brazil's pedigree, solidified by Argentina's top qualifying finish. Recent inter-confederation playoffs, including Bolivia's 2-1 win over Suriname on March 26, filled slots without elevating non-traditional powers, while ongoing European playoffs reinforce UEFA strength. Africa (3.9%), North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) lag due to shallower talent pools despite expanded 48-team field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ヨーロッパ 69%
南米 22%
アフリカ 3.9%
北米 2.4%
$1,479,404 Vol.
$1,479,404 Vol.
ヨーロッパ
69%
南米
22%
アフリカ
4%
北米
2%
アジア
2%
オセアニア
<1%
ヨーロッパ 69%
南米 22%
アフリカ 3.9%
北米 2.4%
$1,479,404 Vol.
$1,479,404 Vol.
ヨーロッパ
$40,519 Vol.
69%
南米
$21,312 Vol.
22%
アフリカ
$909,175 Vol.
4%
北米
$156,384 Vol.
2%
アジア
$179,185 Vol.
2%
オセアニア
$172,830 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at 68.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's depth of elite contenders like top-ranked Spain, France, England, and Germany, who lead power rankings 100 days out and dominated qualifiers with leaders such as Germany topping groups. South America's 21.5% reflects CONMEBOL powerhouses Argentina—defending champions—and Brazil's pedigree, solidified by Argentina's top qualifying finish. Recent inter-confederation playoffs, including Bolivia's 2-1 win over Suriname on March 26, filled slots without elevating non-traditional powers, while ongoing European playoffs reinforce UEFA strength. Africa (3.9%), North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) lag due to shallower talent pools despite expanded 48-team field.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
音量
$1,479,404マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at 68.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's depth of elite contenders like top-ranked Spain, France, England, and Germany, who lead power rankings 100 days out and dominated qualifiers with leaders such as Germany topping groups. South America's 21.5% reflects CONMEBOL powerhouses Argentina—defending champions—and Brazil's pedigree, solidified by Argentina's top qualifying finish. Recent inter-confederation playoffs, including Bolivia's 2-1 win over Suriname on March 26, filled slots without elevating non-traditional powers, while ongoing European playoffs reinforce UEFA strength. Africa (3.9%), North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) lag due to shallower talent pools despite expanded 48-team field.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,479,404マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Europe at 68.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's depth of elite contenders like top-ranked Spain, France, England, and Germany, who lead power rankings 100 days out and dominated qualifiers with leaders such as Germany topping groups. South America's 21.5% reflects CONMEBOL powerhouses Argentina—defending champions—and Brazil's pedigree, solidified by Argentina's top qualifying finish. Recent inter-confederation playoffs, including Bolivia's 2-1 win over Suriname on March 26, filled slots without elevating non-traditional powers, while ongoing European playoffs reinforce UEFA strength. Africa (3.9%), North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) lag due to shallower talent pools despite expanded 48-team field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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