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What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?

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What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?

$274,964 Vol.

Aug 22, 2025
Polymarket

$274,964 Vol.

Polymarket

Inflation 50+ times

$18,067 Vol.

Yes

Labor 25+ times

$13,958 Vol.

No

Employment / Unemployment 15+ times

$8,236 Vol.

Yes

Tariff 5+ times

$10,050 Vol.

Yes

Good Morning

$80,182 Vol.

No

Recession

$6,597 Vol.

Yes

Russia

$18,195 Vol.

No

Summer

$4,802 Vol.

No

Rate cut

$7,195 Vol.

No

Pandemic

$17,368 Vol.

Yes

Payroll

$7,487 Vol.

Yes

Chair

$9,413 Vol.

Yes

Trump

$46,465 Vol.

No

Crypto / Bitcoin

$26,949 Vol.

No

Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole economic conference entitled "Economic Outlook and Framework Review" at August 22, 2025, 10 AM ET (see https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-from-fed-chair-powell-s-big-speech-friday-11792908).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the scheduled remarks at the specified event on August 22. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.
音量
$274,964
終了日
Aug 22, 2025
マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole economic conference entitled "Economic Outlook and Framework Review" at August 22, 2025, 10 AM ET (see https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-from-fed-chair-powell-s-big-speech-friday-11792908). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled remarks at the specified event on August 22. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inflation 50+ times" at 100%, followed by "Employment / Unemployment 15+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?" has generated $275K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?" is "Inflation 50+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Employment / Unemployment 15+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.