Market icon

ベネズエラの指導者は2026年末?

Market icon

ベネズエラの指導者は2026年末?

デルシー・ロドリゲス 56%

マリア・コリナ・マチャド 19%

ニコラス・マドゥロ 13.7%

エドムンド・ゴンサレス 3.0%

Polymarket

$70,421,239 Vol.

デルシー・ロドリゲス 56%

マリア・コリナ・マチャド 19%

ニコラス・マドゥロ 13.7%

エドムンド・ゴンサレス 3.0%

Polymarket

$70,421,239 Vol.

デルシー・ロドリゲス

$1,109,652 Vol.

56%

マリア・コリナ・マチャド

$790,969 Vol.

19%

ニコラス・マドゥロ

$678,088 Vol.

14%

エドムンド・ゴンサレス

$341,258 Vol.

3%

ディオスダド・カベジョ・ロンドン

$1,114,678 Vol.

1%

ウラジミール・パドリーノ・ロペス

$415,170 Vol.

1%

ホルヘ・ロドリゲス

$783,306 Vol.

1%

マルコ・ルビオ

$628,537 Vol.

1%

元首不在

$636,543 Vol.

<1%

ドナルド・トランプ

$650,413 Vol.

<1%

ディノラ・フィゲーラ

$2,002,152 Vol.

<1%

ピート・ヘグセス

$7,916,171 Vol.

<1%

ダン・ケイン

$1,324,911 Vol.

<1%

フランク・ドノバン

$24,209,431 Vol.

<1%

エヴァン・ペトゥス

$0 Vol.

<1%

リチャード・グレネル

$27,819,962 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.

If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.

In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.

If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.

The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
音量
$70,421,239
終了日
Dec 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa. In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"ベネズエラの指導者は2026年末?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "デルシー・ロドリゲス" at 56%, followed by "マリア・コリナ・マチャド" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ベネズエラの指導者は2026年末?" has generated $70.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ベネズエラの指導者は2026年末?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ベネズエラの指導者は2026年末?" is "デルシー・ロドリゲス" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "マリア・コリナ・マチャド" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ベネズエラの指導者は2026年末?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.