Market icon
政治·スターマー

スターマーの出番は... ？

Market icon
政治·スターマー

スターマーの出番は... ？

$10,154,673 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$10,154,673 Vol.

Polymarket

3月31日

$800,456 Vol.

1%

4月30日

$71,512 Vol.

5%

6月30日

$1,290,689 Vol.

43%

12月31日

$807,900 Vol.

67%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Keir Starmer's Labour government faces mounting pressure from a scandal over his overruling of reputational risk warnings to appoint Lord Peter Mandelson as ambassador, amid links to Jeffrey Epstein files, prompting opposition calls for a no-confidence vote and internal unrest. Recent YouGov polling from March 15-16 shows Labour at 17%, trailing Reform UK on 25% and Greens at 19%, reflecting voter fragmentation and dissatisfaction with policy U-turns and ministerial resignations. While Starmer averted a February leadership challenge, trader sentiment hinges on upcoming May elections for local councils, Welsh Senedd, Scottish Parliament, and mayors, where heavy losses could trigger resignation, party revolt, or snap election before 2029. No formal no-confidence motion is tabled yet, leaving his position precarious but intact.

Keir Starmer's Labour government faces mounting pressure from a scandal over his overruling of reputational risk warnings to appoint Lord Peter Mandelson as ambassador, amid links to Jeffrey Epstein files, prompting opposition calls for a no-confidence vote and internal unrest. Recent YouGov polling from March 15-16 shows Labour at 17%, trailing Reform UK on 25% and Greens at 19%, reflecting voter fragmentation and dissatisfaction with policy U-turns and ministerial resignations. While Starmer averted a February leadership challenge, trader sentiment hinges on upcoming May elections for local councils, Welsh Senedd, Scottish Parliament, and mayors, where heavy losses could trigger resignation, party revolt, or snap election before 2029. No formal no-confidence motion is tabled yet, leaving his position precarious but intact.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Keir Starmer's Labour government faces mounting pressure from a scandal over his overruling of reputational risk warnings to appoint Lord Peter Mandelson as ambassador, amid links to Jeffrey Epstein files, prompting opposition calls for a no-confidence vote and internal unrest. Recent YouGov polling from March 15-16 shows Labour at 17%, trailing Reform UK on 25% and Greens at 19%, reflecting voter fragmentation and dissatisfaction with policy U-turns and ministerial resignations. While Starmer averted a February leadership challenge, trader sentiment hinges on upcoming May elections for local councils, Welsh Senedd, Scottish Parliament, and mayors, where heavy losses could trigger resignation, party revolt, or snap election before 2029. No formal no-confidence motion is tabled yet, leaving his position precarious but intact.

Keir Starmer's Labour government faces mounting pressure from a scandal over his overruling of reputational risk warnings to appoint Lord Peter Mandelson as ambassador, amid links to Jeffrey Epstein files, prompting opposition calls for a no-confidence vote and internal unrest. Recent YouGov polling from March 15-16 shows Labour at 17%, trailing Reform UK on 25% and Greens at 19%, reflecting voter fragmentation and dissatisfaction with policy U-turns and ministerial resignations. While Starmer averted a February leadership challenge, trader sentiment hinges on upcoming May elections for local councils, Welsh Senedd, Scottish Parliament, and mayors, where heavy losses could trigger resignation, party revolt, or snap election before 2029. No formal no-confidence motion is tabled yet, leaving his position precarious but intact.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「スターマーの出番は... ？」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で67%、次いで「6月30日」が43%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、67¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に67%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「スターマーの出番は... ？」は$10.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 3, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「スターマーの出番は... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「スターマーの出番は... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で67%であり、市場がこの結果に67%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6月30日」で43%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「スターマーの出番は... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。