Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 5-6 inches of total precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac) gauge for March 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's final climate summary released March 31 confirming 5.42 inches—squarely within that bin based on daily gauge measurements. This above-normal total (versus 3.3-inch climatological average) stemmed from persistent Pacific frontal systems and an early-month atmospheric river delivering steady rain and snowmelt equivalent, per NOAA records. Model forecasts from early March had converged on this range amid neutral ENSO conditions favoring wetter Northwest patterns. With resolution imminent, only a rare post-audit revision by the National Centers for Environmental Information could shift it, though gauge data integrity makes this improbable. Traders await any final NCEI validation expected soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日5〜6インチ 100.0%
3インチ未満 <1%
3〜4インチ <1%
4〜5インチ <1%
$386,019 Vol.
$386,019 Vol.
3インチ未満
いいえ
3〜4インチ
いいえ
4〜5インチ
いいえ
5〜6インチ
はい
6〜7インチ
いいえ
7〜8インチ
いいえ
8インチ超
いいえ
5〜6インチ 100.0%
3インチ未満 <1%
3〜4インチ <1%
4〜5インチ <1%
$386,019 Vol.
$386,019 Vol.
3インチ未満
いいえ
3〜4インチ
いいえ
4〜5インチ
いいえ
5〜6インチ
はい
6〜7インチ
いいえ
7〜8インチ
いいえ
8インチ超
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Feb 26, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 5-6 inches of total precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac) gauge for March 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's final climate summary released March 31 confirming 5.42 inches—squarely within that bin based on daily gauge measurements. This above-normal total (versus 3.3-inch climatological average) stemmed from persistent Pacific frontal systems and an early-month atmospheric river delivering steady rain and snowmelt equivalent, per NOAA records. Model forecasts from early March had converged on this range amid neutral ENSO conditions favoring wetter Northwest patterns. With resolution imminent, only a rare post-audit revision by the National Centers for Environmental Information could shift it, though gauge data integrity makes this improbable. Traders await any final NCEI validation expected soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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