National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport gauge show approximately 5.6 inches of precipitation accumulated through March 29, 2026, driving the market-implied 94% probability for the 5-6 inch bin—well above the 1991-2020 March climatological normal of 3.17 inches. Persistent low-pressure systems and atmospheric rivers fueled above-normal rainfall early and mid-month, with NOAA forecast models now consensus on dry conditions through March 31 under building high pressure, adding at most trace amounts. Trader consensus reflects this near-lock, backed by skin-in-the-game capital. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-month frontal boundary delivering over 0.4 inches, though ensemble model runs assign low odds to such intensification. Final resolution awaits the official NWS March monthly climate summary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日5〜6インチ 94.3%
6〜7インチ 3.7%
7〜8インチ 2.0%
8インチ超 <1%
$320,612 Vol.
$320,612 Vol.
3インチ未満
<1%
3〜4インチ
<1%
4〜5インチ
<1%
5〜6インチ
94%
6〜7インチ
4%
7〜8インチ
2%
8インチ超
<1%
5〜6インチ 94.3%
6〜7インチ 3.7%
7〜8インチ 2.0%
8インチ超 <1%
$320,612 Vol.
$320,612 Vol.
3インチ未満
<1%
3〜4インチ
<1%
4〜5インチ
<1%
5〜6インチ
94%
6〜7インチ
4%
7〜8インチ
2%
8インチ超
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Feb 26, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport gauge show approximately 5.6 inches of precipitation accumulated through March 29, 2026, driving the market-implied 94% probability for the 5-6 inch bin—well above the 1991-2020 March climatological normal of 3.17 inches. Persistent low-pressure systems and atmospheric rivers fueled above-normal rainfall early and mid-month, with NOAA forecast models now consensus on dry conditions through March 31 under building high pressure, adding at most trace amounts. Trader consensus reflects this near-lock, backed by skin-in-the-game capital. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-month frontal boundary delivering over 0.4 inches, though ensemble model runs assign low odds to such intensification. Final resolution awaits the official NWS March monthly climate summary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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