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3月のシアトルの降水量は?

Market icon

3月のシアトルの降水量は?

5〜6インチ 94.3%

6〜7インチ 3.7%

7〜8インチ 2.0%

8インチ超 <1%

Polymarket

$320,612 Vol.

5〜6インチ 94.3%

6〜7インチ 3.7%

7〜8インチ 2.0%

8インチ超 <1%

Polymarket

$320,612 Vol.

3インチ未満

$60,148 Vol.

<1%

3〜4インチ

$167,678 Vol.

<1%

4〜5インチ

$33,190 Vol.

<1%

5〜6インチ

$14,997 Vol.

94%

6〜7インチ

$21,351 Vol.

4%

7〜8インチ

$11,607 Vol.

2%

8インチ超

$11,777 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport gauge show approximately 5.6 inches of precipitation accumulated through March 29, 2026, driving the market-implied 94% probability for the 5-6 inch bin—well above the 1991-2020 March climatological normal of 3.17 inches. Persistent low-pressure systems and atmospheric rivers fueled above-normal rainfall early and mid-month, with NOAA forecast models now consensus on dry conditions through March 31 under building high pressure, adding at most trace amounts. Trader consensus reflects this near-lock, backed by skin-in-the-game capital. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-month frontal boundary delivering over 0.4 inches, though ensemble model runs assign low odds to such intensification. Final resolution awaits the official NWS March monthly climate summary.

National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport gauge show approximately 5.6 inches of precipitation accumulated through March 29, 2026, driving the market-implied 94% probability for the 5-6 inch bin—well above the 1991-2020 March climatological normal of 3.17 inches. Persistent low-pressure systems and atmospheric rivers fueled above-normal rainfall early and mid-month, with NOAA forecast models now consensus on dry conditions through March 31 under building high pressure, adding at most trace amounts. Trader consensus reflects this near-lock, backed by skin-in-the-game capital. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-month frontal boundary delivering over 0.4 inches, though ensemble model runs assign low odds to such intensification. Final resolution awaits the official NWS March monthly climate summary.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport gauge show approximately 5.6 inches of precipitation accumulated through March 29, 2026, driving the market-implied 94% probability for the 5-6 inch bin—well above the 1991-2020 March climatological normal of 3.17 inches. Persistent low-pressure systems and atmospheric rivers fueled above-normal rainfall early and mid-month, with NOAA forecast models now consensus on dry conditions through March 31 under building high pressure, adding at most trace amounts. Trader consensus reflects this near-lock, backed by skin-in-the-game capital. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-month frontal boundary delivering over 0.4 inches, though ensemble model runs assign low odds to such intensification. Final resolution awaits the official NWS March monthly climate summary.

National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport gauge show approximately 5.6 inches of precipitation accumulated through March 29, 2026, driving the market-implied 94% probability for the 5-6 inch bin—well above the 1991-2020 March climatological normal of 3.17 inches. Persistent low-pressure systems and atmospheric rivers fueled above-normal rainfall early and mid-month, with NOAA forecast models now consensus on dry conditions through March 31 under building high pressure, adding at most trace amounts. Trader consensus reflects this near-lock, backed by skin-in-the-game capital. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-month frontal boundary delivering over 0.4 inches, though ensemble model runs assign low odds to such intensification. Final resolution awaits the official NWS March monthly climate summary.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「3月のシアトルの降水量は?」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「5〜6インチ」で94%、次いで「6〜7インチ」が4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月のシアトルの降水量は?」は$320.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月のシアトルの降水量は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月のシアトルの降水量は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「5〜6インチ」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6〜7インチ」で4%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月のシアトルの降水量は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。