Market icon

Nothing Ever Happens

Market icon

Nothing Ever Happens

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$1,058,585 Vol.

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$1,058,585 Vol.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Yoon Suk Yeol is reinstated as President of South Korea -Pete Hegseth resigns or otherwise ceases to be Secretary of Defense -Erdoğan resigns or otherwise ceases to be President of Turkey -Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire deal Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+2.png

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

-Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire
-Yoon Suk Yeol is reinstated as President of South Korea
-Pete Hegseth resigns or otherwise ceases to be Secretary of Defense
-Erdoğan resigns or otherwise ceases to be President of Turkey
-Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire deal

Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+1.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+2.png
音量
$1,058,585
終了日
2025/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2025, 8:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Yoon Suk Yeol is reinstated as President of South Korea -Pete Hegseth resigns or otherwise ceases to be Secretary of Defense -Erdoğan resigns or otherwise ceases to be President of Turkey -Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire deal Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+2.png

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Yoon Suk Yeol is reinstated as President of South Korea -Pete Hegseth resigns or otherwise ceases to be Secretary of Defense -Erdoğan resigns or otherwise ceases to be President of Turkey -Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire deal Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+2.png

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

-Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire
-Yoon Suk Yeol is reinstated as President of South Korea
-Pete Hegseth resigns or otherwise ceases to be Secretary of Defense
-Erdoğan resigns or otherwise ceases to be President of Turkey
-Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire deal

Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+1.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+2.png
音量
$1,058,585
終了日
2025/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2025, 8:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Yoon Suk Yeol is reinstated as President of South Korea -Pete Hegseth resigns or otherwise ceases to be Secretary of Defense -Erdoğan resigns or otherwise ceases to be President of Turkey -Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire deal Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+2.png

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Nothing Ever Happens 」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。例えば、「はい」が100¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を100%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Nothing Ever Happens 」は$1.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 27, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Nothing Ever Happens 」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Nothing Ever Happens 」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を100%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Nothing Ever Happens 」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。