Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% chance of no new COVID-19 variant of concern before 2027, driven by sustained high population immunity from vaccines and prior infections, alongside robust global surveillance that has contained recent subvariants like JN.1 and KP.3.1.1 as variants under monitoring rather than concern, per WHO updates through late October 2024. Wastewater data and case trends show no explosive surges, with updated boosters targeting current strains like KP.2 rolling out effectively. While mutations persist in SARS-CoV-2 evolution, no developments in the past 30 days signal a breakthrough threat, though animal spillover or vaccine escape could shift odds ahead of the 2027 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$228,612 Vol.
$228,612 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
はい
$228,612 Vol.
$228,612 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
マーケット開始日： Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ET
音量
$228,612終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
音量
$228,612終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% chance of no new COVID-19 variant of concern before 2027, driven by sustained high population immunity from vaccines and prior infections, alongside robust global surveillance that has contained recent subvariants like JN.1 and KP.3.1.1 as variants under monitoring rather than concern, per WHO updates through late October 2024. Wastewater data and case trends show no explosive surges, with updated boosters targeting current strains like KP.2 rolling out effectively. While mutations persist in SARS-CoV-2 evolution, no developments in the past 30 days signal a breakthrough threat, though animal spillover or vaccine escape could shift odds ahead of the 2027 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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