Microsoft (MSFT) shares have stabilized firmly in the $370-$380 range, driving 99% market-implied probability for that bin at the week-of-March-30 close (Friday, April 4), as trader consensus prices in the stock's recent rebound from a four-day slide ending March 27 at $356.77. The sharp recovery—closing $358.96 on March 30, $370.17 on March 31, and $369.37 on April 1—reflects broader market stabilization amid low volatility and absence of adverse catalysts, with trading volume normalizing around 45 million shares daily. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores wisdom-of-crowds efficiency, though a pre-close macroeconomic shock, such as hotter-than-expected inflation data or tech sector selloff, could pressure shares below $370 and challenge the consensus. Next quarterly earnings loom in late April.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$370〜$380 99.4%
>$410 <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$360～$370 <1%
$46,656 Vol.
$46,656 Vol.
2026/04/03
<$320
<1%
$320～$330
<1%
$330〜$340
<1%
$340-$350
1%
$350〜$360
<1%
$360～$370
1%
$370〜$380
99%
$380-$390
<1%
$390～$400
<1%
$400〜$410
<1%
>$410
1%
$370〜$380 99.4%
>$410 <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$360～$370 <1%
$46,656 Vol.
$46,656 Vol.
2026/04/03
<$320
$3,902 Vol.
<1%
$320～$330
$1,206 Vol.
<1%
$330〜$340
$1,116 Vol.
<1%
$340-$350
$2,062 Vol.
1%
$350〜$360
$6,003 Vol.
<1%
$360～$370
$11,786 Vol.
1%
$370〜$380
$10,790 Vol.
99%
$380-$390
$3,644 Vol.
<1%
$390～$400
$1,268 Vol.
<1%
$400〜$410
$3,762 Vol.
<1%
>$410
$1,126 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) shares have stabilized firmly in the $370-$380 range, driving 99% market-implied probability for that bin at the week-of-March-30 close (Friday, April 4), as trader consensus prices in the stock's recent rebound from a four-day slide ending March 27 at $356.77. The sharp recovery—closing $358.96 on March 30, $370.17 on March 31, and $369.37 on April 1—reflects broader market stabilization amid low volatility and absence of adverse catalysts, with trading volume normalizing around 45 million shares daily. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores wisdom-of-crowds efficiency, though a pre-close macroeconomic shock, such as hotter-than-expected inflation data or tech sector selloff, could pressure shares below $370 and challenge the consensus. Next quarterly earnings loom in late April.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
音量
$46,656終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) shares have stabilized firmly in the $370-$380 range, driving 99% market-implied probability for that bin at the week-of-March-30 close (Friday, April 4), as trader consensus prices in the stock's recent rebound from a four-day slide ending March 27 at $356.77. The sharp recovery—closing $358.96 on March 30, $370.17 on March 31, and $369.37 on April 1—reflects broader market stabilization amid low volatility and absence of adverse catalysts, with trading volume normalizing around 45 million shares daily. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores wisdom-of-crowds efficiency, though a pre-close macroeconomic shock, such as hotter-than-expected inflation data or tech sector selloff, could pressure shares below $370 and challenge the consensus. Next quarterly earnings loom in late April.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$46,656終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ETMicrosoft (MSFT) shares have stabilized firmly in the $370-$380 range, driving 99% market-implied probability for that bin at the week-of-March-30 close (Friday, April 4), as trader consensus prices in the stock's recent rebound from a four-day slide ending March 27 at $356.77. The sharp recovery—closing $358.96 on March 30, $370.17 on March 31, and $369.37 on April 1—reflects broader market stabilization amid low volatility and absence of adverse catalysts, with trading volume normalizing around 45 million shares daily. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores wisdom-of-crowds efficiency, though a pre-close macroeconomic shock, such as hotter-than-expected inflation data or tech sector selloff, could pressure shares below $370 and challenge the consensus. Next quarterly earnings loom in late April.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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