Market icon

2026年1月温度上昇(º C )

1.05~1.09℃ 100.0%

1.00ºC未満 <1%

1.00〜1.04ºC <1%

1.10〜1.14ºC <1%

Polymarket

$1,054,169 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
音量
$1,054,169
終了日
Feb 10, 2026
作成日時
Dec 29, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

Market icon

2026年1月温度上昇(º C )

1.05~1.09℃ 100.0%

1.00ºC未満 <1%

1.00〜1.04ºC <1%

1.10〜1.14ºC <1%

Polymarket

$1,054,169 Vol.

1.00ºC未満

$124,483 Vol.

いいえ

1.00〜1.04ºC

$195,558 Vol.

いいえ

1.05~1.09℃

$176,193 Vol.

はい

1.10〜1.14ºC

$185,917 Vol.

いいえ

1.15~1.19ºC

$143,587 Vol.

いいえ

>1.19ºC

$228,431 Vol.

いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。