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Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?

Market icon

Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$443,704 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$443,704 Vol.

On Dec 9 the YouTube channel @PepMangione posted a video titled "The Truth", stating "If you see this, I’m already under arrest." (see https://x.com/AFpost/status/1866229482719244591).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the https://www.youtube.com/@PepMangione YouTube channel is real, i.e. it is proven to be operated by Luigi Mangione or a person/system that he authorized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution date is December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no credible evidence linking Luigi Mangione to the YouTube channel by the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$443,704
終了日
Dec 31, 2024
マーケット開始日
Dec 9, 2024, 5:15 PM ET
On Dec 9 the YouTube channel @PepMangione posted a video titled "The Truth", stating "If you see this, I’m already under arrest." (see https://x.com/AFpost/status/1866229482719244591). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the https://www.youtube.com/@PepMangione YouTube channel is real, i.e. it is proven to be operated by Luigi Mangione or a person/system that he authorized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution date is December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no credible evidence linking Luigi Mangione to the YouTube channel by the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

On Dec 9 the YouTube channel @PepMangione posted a video titled "The Truth", stating "If you see this, I’m already under arrest." (see https://x.com/AFpost/status/1866229482719244591).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the https://www.youtube.com/@PepMangione YouTube channel is real, i.e. it is proven to be operated by Luigi Mangione or a person/system that he authorized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution date is December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no credible evidence linking Luigi Mangione to the YouTube channel by the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$443,704
終了日
Dec 31, 2024
マーケット開始日
Dec 9, 2024, 5:15 PM ET
On Dec 9 the YouTube channel @PepMangione posted a video titled "The Truth", stating "If you see this, I’m already under arrest." (see https://x.com/AFpost/status/1866229482719244591). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the https://www.youtube.com/@PepMangione YouTube channel is real, i.e. it is proven to be operated by Luigi Mangione or a person/system that he authorized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution date is December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no credible evidence linking Luigi Mangione to the YouTube channel by the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?" has generated $443.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.