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スポーツ·イラン

イランがFIFAワールドカップから除名されたのは... ？

Market icon
スポーツ·イラン

イランがFIFAワールドカップから除名されたのは... ？

$176,191 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$176,191 Vol.

Polymarket

3月31日

$174,143 Vol.

3%

April 30

$2,047 Vol.

42%

Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter. "Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason. The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before April 30, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter. "Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason. The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's qualified status for the 2026 FIFA World Cup hangs in balance amid escalating geopolitical tensions following U.S. strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei late February, prompting the sports minister's March 11 declaration that participation is impossible due to unsafe U.S. conditions for group stage matches. FIFA rejected Iran's bid to relocate games to Mexico, while a March 26 sports ministry ban prohibits national teams from traveling to "hostile" countries like the U.S., fueling withdrawal fears. No formal expulsion or FIFA sanctions yet, but regulations outline fines over $300K and potential future bans for non-participation, with trader consensus eyeing a March 31 confirmation deadline as key amid replacement team discussions.

Iran's qualified status for the 2026 FIFA World Cup hangs in balance amid escalating geopolitical tensions following U.S. strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei late February, prompting the sports minister's March 11 declaration that participation is impossible due to unsafe U.S. conditions for group stage matches. FIFA rejected Iran's bid to relocate games to Mexico, while a March 26 sports ministry ban prohibits national teams from traveling to "hostile" countries like the U.S., fueling withdrawal fears. No formal expulsion or FIFA sanctions yet, but regulations outline fines over $300K and potential future bans for non-participation, with trader consensus eyeing a March 31 confirmation deadline as key amid replacement team discussions.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter. "Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason. The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before April 30, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter. "Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason. The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's qualified status for the 2026 FIFA World Cup hangs in balance amid escalating geopolitical tensions following U.S. strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei late February, prompting the sports minister's March 11 declaration that participation is impossible due to unsafe U.S. conditions for group stage matches. FIFA rejected Iran's bid to relocate games to Mexico, while a March 26 sports ministry ban prohibits national teams from traveling to "hostile" countries like the U.S., fueling withdrawal fears. No formal expulsion or FIFA sanctions yet, but regulations outline fines over $300K and potential future bans for non-participation, with trader consensus eyeing a March 31 confirmation deadline as key amid replacement team discussions.

Iran's qualified status for the 2026 FIFA World Cup hangs in balance amid escalating geopolitical tensions following U.S. strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei late February, prompting the sports minister's March 11 declaration that participation is impossible due to unsafe U.S. conditions for group stage matches. FIFA rejected Iran's bid to relocate games to Mexico, while a March 26 sports ministry ban prohibits national teams from traveling to "hostile" countries like the U.S., fueling withdrawal fears. No formal expulsion or FIFA sanctions yet, but regulations outline fines over $300K and potential future bans for non-participation, with trader consensus eyeing a March 31 confirmation deadline as key amid replacement team discussions.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「イランがFIFAワールドカップから除名されたのは... ？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「April 30」で42%、次いで「3月31日」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、42¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に42%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イランがFIFAワールドカップから除名されたのは... ？」は$176.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イランがFIFAワールドカップから除名されたのは... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イランがFIFAワールドカップから除名されたのは... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「April 30」で42%であり、市場がこの結果に42%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3月31日」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イランがFIFAワールドカップから除名されたのは... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。