Traders' overwhelming consensus assigning 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Singapore on April 12 stems from National Environment Agency (NEA) real-time observations capturing peak readings at that level across stations, suppressed by widespread thundery showers over northern, eastern, and central regions during inter-monsoon conditions. Morning data showed maxima around 29-30°C with minimal clearing, aligning below the NEA's fortnightly forecast range of 33-35°C due to cloudy skies and rainfall totaling 0.2 mm early. April climatology typically sees daily highs of 31-33°C, but rainy precedents like 29.2°C on April 12, 2024, reinforce this positioning. Upside risks include late-afternoon sun breaks enabling brief spikes at outlying sites like Sembawang, though evening showers limit potential; NEA's final daily records will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Singapore on April 12?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 12?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$96,802 Vol.
$96,802 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$96,802 Vol.
$96,802 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders' overwhelming consensus assigning 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Singapore on April 12 stems from National Environment Agency (NEA) real-time observations capturing peak readings at that level across stations, suppressed by widespread thundery showers over northern, eastern, and central regions during inter-monsoon conditions. Morning data showed maxima around 29-30°C with minimal clearing, aligning below the NEA's fortnightly forecast range of 33-35°C due to cloudy skies and rainfall totaling 0.2 mm early. April climatology typically sees daily highs of 31-33°C, but rainy precedents like 29.2°C on April 12, 2024, reinforce this positioning. Upside risks include late-afternoon sun breaks enabling brief spikes at outlying sites like Sembawang, though evening showers limit potential; NEA's final daily records will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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