Official observations from the Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) station, as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 15, 2026, peaked at 69°F around 3 PM local time, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F outcome. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds, about 1,000 feet deep per National Weather Service analyses, limited solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning with the day's normal maximum of 68°F and partly cloudy conditions with no precipitation. This reflects strong model consensus pre-event on cool advection and coastal stratus typical for mid-April in Southern California. Post-measurement challenges are minimal, though rare quality-control revisions to hourly ASOS data could theoretically nudge the peak by 1°F if instrument anomalies emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月15日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
4月15日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
68〜69°F 100.0%
53°F以下 <1%
54~55°F <1%
56~57°F <1%
$84,012 Vol.
$84,012 Vol.
53°F以下
いいえ
54~55°F
いいえ
56~57°F
いいえ
58〜59°F
いいえ
60~61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64~65°F
いいえ
66〜67°F
いいえ
68〜69°F
はい
70~71°F
いいえ
華氏72度以上
いいえ
68〜69°F 100.0%
53°F以下 <1%
54~55°F <1%
56~57°F <1%
$84,012 Vol.
$84,012 Vol.
53°F以下
いいえ
54~55°F
いいえ
56~57°F
いいえ
58〜59°F
いいえ
60~61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64~65°F
いいえ
66〜67°F
いいえ
68〜69°F
はい
70~71°F
いいえ
華氏72度以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official observations from the Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) station, as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 15, 2026, peaked at 69°F around 3 PM local time, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F outcome. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds, about 1,000 feet deep per National Weather Service analyses, limited solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning with the day's normal maximum of 68°F and partly cloudy conditions with no precipitation. This reflects strong model consensus pre-event on cool advection and coastal stratus typical for mid-April in Southern California. Post-measurement challenges are minimal, though rare quality-control revisions to hourly ASOS data could theoretically nudge the peak by 1°F if instrument anomalies emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問