Official observational data from the Istanbul Airport station, as reported by NOAA's Integrated Surface Database, confirm a daily high temperature of 12°C on April 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. This positioning reflects partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a persistent cool air mass over the Marmara region—conditions verified by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) hourly readings peaking near noon at around 12°C before declining. Below the April climatological average of 16°C, these factors suppressed daytime heating. Realistic challenges are minimal post-sunset, though a final data revision or unrecorded peripheral station outlier could theoretically alter resolution; expect MGM's evening summary to solidify this outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 12?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 12?
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$61,628 Vol.
$61,628 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$61,628 Vol.
$61,628 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observational data from the Istanbul Airport station, as reported by NOAA's Integrated Surface Database, confirm a daily high temperature of 12°C on April 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. This positioning reflects partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a persistent cool air mass over the Marmara region—conditions verified by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) hourly readings peaking near noon at around 12°C before declining. Below the April climatological average of 16°C, these factors suppressed daytime heating. Realistic challenges are minimal post-sunset, though a final data revision or unrecorded peripheral station outlier could theoretically alter resolution; expect MGM's evening summary to solidify this outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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