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4月15日の香港の最高気温は?

Market icon

4月15日の香港の最高気温は?

28℃ 100.0%

20°C以下 <1%

21℃ <1%

22°C <1%

Polymarket

$375,526 Vol.

28℃ 100.0%

20°C以下 <1%

21℃ <1%

22°C <1%

Polymarket

$375,526 Vol.

20°C以下

$6,020 Vol.

いいえ

21℃

$2,045 Vol.

いいえ

22°C

$2,116 Vol.

いいえ

23°C

$3,060 Vol.

いいえ

24℃

$2,556 Vol.

いいえ

25°C

$9,062 Vol.

いいえ

26℃

$32,230 Vol.

いいえ

27°C

$51,647 Vol.

いいえ

28℃

$146,310 Vol.

はい

29°C

$62,562 Vol.

いいえ

30℃以上

$57,917 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of a maximum air temperature of 28.7°C at its station on April 15, 2026—recorded amid sunny intervals and a southerly airstream—solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 28°C outcome. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, following an exceptionally warm March and early spring highs around 28–29°C in many areas. Model consensus and historical April averages (around 27°C) supported such positioning pre-event, with odds shifting decisively after real-time observations confirmed the peak below 29°C. Realistic challenges are negligible post-verification, barring rare data revisions from instrument checks, as HKO readings are highly reliable standards.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$375,526
終了日
2026/04/15
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of a maximum air temperature of 28.7°C at its station on April 15, 2026—recorded amid sunny intervals and a southerly airstream—solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 28°C outcome. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, following an exceptionally warm March and early spring highs around 28–29°C in many areas. Model consensus and historical April averages (around 27°C) supported such positioning pre-event, with odds shifting decisively after real-time observations confirmed the peak below 29°C. Realistic challenges are negligible post-verification, barring rare data revisions from instrument checks, as HKO readings are highly reliable standards.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$375,526
終了日
2026/04/15
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「4月15日の香港の最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「28℃」で100%、次いで「20°C以下」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「4月15日の香港の最高気温は?」は$375.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「4月15日の香港の最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月15日の香港の最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「28℃」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「20°C以下」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月15日の香港の最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。