The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement confirms a maximum air temperature of 27°C on April 11, 2026, recorded at its King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with a southerly airstream and early-morning readings near 26°C, amid normal to above-normal April conditions forecasted by the Observatory, where mean maximums typically hover around 26°C amid variable cloud cover suppressing extremes. Historical April data shows peaks rarely exceeding 30°C without heatwaves, and no such event occurred here. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a data revision from quality-controlled observations or dispute over the reference site could shift it, with next daily summary expected soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月11日の香港の最高気温は?
4月11日の香港の最高気温は?
27°C 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$192,509 Vol.
$192,509 Vol.
20℃以下
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
はい
28°C
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C以上
いいえ
27°C 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$192,509 Vol.
$192,509 Vol.
20℃以下
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
はい
28°C
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement confirms a maximum air temperature of 27°C on April 11, 2026, recorded at its King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with a southerly airstream and early-morning readings near 26°C, amid normal to above-normal April conditions forecasted by the Observatory, where mean maximums typically hover around 26°C amid variable cloud cover suppressing extremes. Historical April data shows peaks rarely exceeding 30°C without heatwaves, and no such event occurred here. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a data revision from quality-controlled observations or dispute over the reference site could shift it, with next daily summary expected soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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