Rockstar Games’ repeated public confirmations of the November 19, 2026 launch date, alongside recent marketing pushes including new screenshots and South Park gameplay footage, have anchored trader confidence that Grand Theft Auto VI will not face another postponement. With pre-loads opening imminently, review copies reportedly circulating, and studio leadership stating the title “will definitely be released,” the market-implied 98.8% probability for “No” reflects the absence of any official delay signals just days before release. Historical precedent of two prior slips and the logistical challenges of shifting a global launch at this stage further support the consensus. A realistic upset would require an unprecedented last-minute technical or regulatory crisis, an outcome traders view as highly improbable given the current trajectory.