Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 77.5% implied probability for another GTA 6 postponement, driven by Take-Two Interactive's repeated reaffirmations of the November 19, 2026 release date, most recently in February earnings where marketing rollout was slated for summer. Despite persistent social media rumors of further delays and scattered unverified claims of pre-order refunds this week, no official Rockstar statement has emerged, and a leaked Best Buy email signals pre-orders potentially starting May 18 alongside trailer 3—indicating momentum toward launch rather than slippage. Historical patterns of two prior shifts (Fall 2025 to May 2026, then November) fuel skepticism, but traders see current quiet as stability; watch upcoming Take-Two Q1 earnings for catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$279,953 Vol.
$279,953 Vol.
2026/11/19
はい
$279,953 Vol.
$279,953 Vol.
2026/11/19
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 77.5% implied probability for another GTA 6 postponement, driven by Take-Two Interactive's repeated reaffirmations of the November 19, 2026 release date, most recently in February earnings where marketing rollout was slated for summer. Despite persistent social media rumors of further delays and scattered unverified claims of pre-order refunds this week, no official Rockstar statement has emerged, and a leaked Best Buy email signals pre-orders potentially starting May 18 alongside trailer 3—indicating momentum toward launch rather than slippage. Historical patterns of two prior shifts (Fall 2025 to May 2026, then November) fuel skepticism, but traders see current quiet as stability; watch upcoming Take-Two Q1 earnings for catalysts.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ET
音量
$279,953終了日
2026/11/19マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 77.5% implied probability for another GTA 6 postponement, driven by Take-Two Interactive's repeated reaffirmations of the November 19, 2026 release date, most recently in February earnings where marketing rollout was slated for summer. Despite persistent social media rumors of further delays and scattered unverified claims of pre-order refunds this week, no official Rockstar statement has emerged, and a leaked Best Buy email signals pre-orders potentially starting May 18 alongside trailer 3—indicating momentum toward launch rather than slippage. Historical patterns of two prior shifts (Fall 2025 to May 2026, then November) fuel skepticism, but traders see current quiet as stability; watch upcoming Take-Two Q1 earnings for catalysts.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$279,956終了日
2026/11/19マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 77.5% implied probability for another GTA 6 postponement, driven by Take-Two Interactive's repeated reaffirmations of the November 19, 2026 release date, most recently in February earnings where marketing rollout was slated for summer. Despite persistent social media rumors of further delays and scattered unverified claims of pre-order refunds this week, no official Rockstar statement has emerged, and a leaked Best Buy email signals pre-orders potentially starting May 18 alongside trailer 3—indicating momentum toward launch rather than slippage. Historical patterns of two prior shifts (Fall 2025 to May 2026, then November) fuel skepticism, but traders see current quiet as stability; watch upcoming Take-Two Q1 earnings for catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問