Trader consensus heavily favors no further postponement of GTA 6's November 19, 2026 launch at 80.5% implied probability, driven by fresh Best Buy affiliate leaks revealing pre-order promotions set for May 18–21, including Standard, Deluxe, Premium, and Collector's editions alongside PS5 bundles. These developments signal Rockstar Games' active marketing push six months post the last delay announcement, quelling delay fears amid radio silence from publisher Take-Two Interactive. No verified reports of production setbacks have emerged in recent weeks, aligning with historical patterns where delays preceded earnings calls. Key catalyst: Take-Two's Q4 FY2026 earnings on May 21, where reaffirmation could solidify the date or spark volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$281,598 Vol.
$281,598 Vol.
2026/11/19
はい
$281,598 Vol.
$281,598 Vol.
2026/11/19
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus heavily favors no further postponement of GTA 6's November 19, 2026 launch at 80.5% implied probability, driven by fresh Best Buy affiliate leaks revealing pre-order promotions set for May 18–21, including Standard, Deluxe, Premium, and Collector's editions alongside PS5 bundles. These developments signal Rockstar Games' active marketing push six months post the last delay announcement, quelling delay fears amid radio silence from publisher Take-Two Interactive. No verified reports of production setbacks have emerged in recent weeks, aligning with historical patterns where delays preceded earnings calls. Key catalyst: Take-Two's Q4 FY2026 earnings on May 21, where reaffirmation could solidify the date or spark volatility.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ET
音量
$281,598終了日
2026/11/19マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus heavily favors no further postponement of GTA 6's November 19, 2026 launch at 80.5% implied probability, driven by fresh Best Buy affiliate leaks revealing pre-order promotions set for May 18–21, including Standard, Deluxe, Premium, and Collector's editions alongside PS5 bundles. These developments signal Rockstar Games' active marketing push six months post the last delay announcement, quelling delay fears amid radio silence from publisher Take-Two Interactive. No verified reports of production setbacks have emerged in recent weeks, aligning with historical patterns where delays preceded earnings calls. Key catalyst: Take-Two's Q4 FY2026 earnings on May 21, where reaffirmation could solidify the date or spark volatility.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$281,599終了日
2026/11/19マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no further postponement of GTA 6's November 19, 2026 launch at 80.5% implied probability, driven by fresh Best Buy affiliate leaks revealing pre-order promotions set for May 18–21, including Standard, Deluxe, Premium, and Collector's editions alongside PS5 bundles. These developments signal Rockstar Games' active marketing push six months post the last delay announcement, quelling delay fears amid radio silence from publisher Take-Two Interactive. No verified reports of production setbacks have emerged in recent weeks, aligning with historical patterns where delays preceded earnings calls. Key catalyst: Take-Two's Q4 FY2026 earnings on May 21, where reaffirmation could solidify the date or spark volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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