Market icon

2026年2月温度上昇(º C )

>1.24ºC 64%

1.20–1.24℃ 21%

1.15~1.19ºC 10%

1.05〜1.09ºC 3.5%

Polymarket

$117,338 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for February 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for February 2026 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
音量
$117,338
終了日
Mar 10, 2026
作成日時
Feb 2, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for February 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for February 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Market icon

2026年2月温度上昇(º C )

>1.24ºC 64%

1.20–1.24℃ 21%

1.15~1.19ºC 10%

1.05〜1.09ºC 3.5%

Polymarket

$117,338 Vol.

<1.05ºC

$9,349 Vol.

1%

1.05〜1.09ºC

$5,085 Vol.

3%

1.10–1.14ºC

$8,479 Vol.

2%

1.15~1.19ºC

$29,511 Vol.

10%

1.20–1.24℃

$22,338 Vol.

21%

>1.24ºC

$42,576 Vol.

64%

外部リンクに注意してください。