With Eurovision 2026 still over a year away—set for May following the 2025 contest in Basel, Switzerland—no national selections, entries, or artist announcements have emerged, leaving trader sentiment anchored to historical patterns rather than fresh catalysts. Perennial top-10 contenders like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and recent hosts often lead implied probabilities due to strong televote and jury performance, Big 5 auto-qualification (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK), and national final momentum. Watch the 2025 grand final winner for the hosting nation, which typically secures a top-half finish, plus initial national final reveals expected late 2025. Markets remain fluid amid evolving EBU rules and geopolitical influences on participation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Eurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$87,049 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
85%

Greece
79%

Denmark
76%

Sweden
76%

Ukraine
73%

France
73%

Australia
70%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Moldova
39%

Czechia
38%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
32%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Luxembourg
18%

Armenia
16%

Switzerland
14%

Serbia
14%

Portugal
13%

Germany
12%

Lithuania
12%

Poland
12%

Montenegro
12%

Georgia
11%

Belgium
11%

Azerbaijan
9%

San Marino
8%

Estonia
7%

Austria
5%
$87,049 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
85%

Greece
79%

Denmark
76%

Sweden
76%

Ukraine
73%

France
73%

Australia
70%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Moldova
39%

Czechia
38%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
32%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Luxembourg
18%

Armenia
16%

Switzerland
14%

Serbia
14%

Portugal
13%

Germany
12%

Lithuania
12%

Poland
12%

Montenegro
12%

Georgia
11%

Belgium
11%

Azerbaijan
9%

San Marino
8%

Estonia
7%

Austria
5%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With Eurovision 2026 still over a year away—set for May following the 2025 contest in Basel, Switzerland—no national selections, entries, or artist announcements have emerged, leaving trader sentiment anchored to historical patterns rather than fresh catalysts. Perennial top-10 contenders like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and recent hosts often lead implied probabilities due to strong televote and jury performance, Big 5 auto-qualification (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK), and national final momentum. Watch the 2025 grand final winner for the hosting nation, which typically secures a top-half finish, plus initial national final reveals expected late 2025. Markets remain fluid amid evolving EBU rules and geopolitical influences on participation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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