The running order for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle was unveiled April 2, a pivotal reveal shaping trader sentiment as slot positions influence jury and televote splits—Moldova opens with Satoshi's "Viva, Moldova!", Sweden's FELICIA follows in "My System", Greece's Akylas performs fourth in "Ferto", and Serbia closes. Finland leads bookie odds for qualification after a dominant UMK win, buoyed by broad appeal, while Sweden and Israel draw buzz from strong national selections and diaspora support. Professional juries return to semis alongside public votes, rewarding versatile entries; first rehearsals in early May will test staging and live delivery, potentially sparking momentum shifts before the top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝
ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝
$415,525 Vol.
2026/05/12
フィンランド
98%
スウェーデン
95%
ギリシャ
94%
イスラエル
92%
モルドバ
84%
セルビア
77%
クロアチア
76%
リトアニア
69%
ポーランド
54%
ジョージア
50%
モンテネグロ
52%
ベルギー
48%
ポルトガル
32%
エストニア
24%
サンマリノ
13%
$415,525 Vol.
フィンランド
$328,585 Vol.
98%
スウェーデン
$1,468 Vol.
95%
ギリシャ
$4,030 Vol.
94%
イスラエル
$19,555 Vol.
92%
モルドバ
$1,434 Vol.
84%
セルビア
$1,452 Vol.
77%
クロアチア
$3,605 Vol.
76%
リトアニア
$2,591 Vol.
69%
ポーランド
$7,240 Vol.
54%
ジョージア
$166 Vol.
50%
モンテネグロ
$1,414 Vol.
52%
ベルギー
$6,233 Vol.
48%
ポルトガル
$30,880 Vol.
32%
エストニア
$1,748 Vol.
24%
サンマリノ
$5,122 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The running order for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle was unveiled April 2, a pivotal reveal shaping trader sentiment as slot positions influence jury and televote splits—Moldova opens with Satoshi's "Viva, Moldova!", Sweden's FELICIA follows in "My System", Greece's Akylas performs fourth in "Ferto", and Serbia closes. Finland leads bookie odds for qualification after a dominant UMK win, buoyed by broad appeal, while Sweden and Israel draw buzz from strong national selections and diaspora support. Professional juries return to semis alongside public votes, rewarding versatile entries; first rehearsals in early May will test staging and live delivery, potentially sparking momentum shifts before the top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
音量
$415,525終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The running order for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle was unveiled April 2, a pivotal reveal shaping trader sentiment as slot positions influence jury and televote splits—Moldova opens with Satoshi's "Viva, Moldova!", Sweden's FELICIA follows in "My System", Greece's Akylas performs fourth in "Ferto", and Serbia closes. Finland leads bookie odds for qualification after a dominant UMK win, buoyed by broad appeal, while Sweden and Israel draw buzz from strong national selections and diaspora support. Professional juries return to semis alongside public votes, rewarding versatile entries; first rehearsals in early May will test staging and live delivery, potentially sparking momentum shifts before the top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$415,525終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The running order for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle was unveiled April 2, a pivotal reveal shaping trader sentiment as slot positions influence jury and televote splits—Moldova opens with Satoshi's "Viva, Moldova!", Sweden's FELICIA follows in "My System", Greece's Akylas performs fourth in "Ferto", and Serbia closes. Finland leads bookie odds for qualification after a dominant UMK win, buoyed by broad appeal, while Sweden and Israel draw buzz from strong national selections and diaspora support. Professional juries return to semis alongside public votes, rewarding versatile entries; first rehearsals in early May will test staging and live delivery, potentially sparking momentum shifts before the top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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