With national selections wrapped up in early March—including standouts like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final lineup is locked for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. The 15 contenders, split into first-half performers (Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden) and second-half (Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, Serbia), plus Big 5 acts Germany and Italy, set the stage for 10 qualifiers. Trader sentiment tracks early buzz on staging previews and historical Nordic/Baltic televote strength, with rehearsals and full running order draw as key near-term catalysts amid jury-televote splits.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝
ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝
$408,929 Vol.
2026/05/12
フィンランド
95%
スウェーデン
94%
ギリシャ
94%
イスラエル
88%
モルドバ
82%
クロアチア
82%
セルビア
67%
リトアニア
66%
ポーランド
55%
モンテネグロ
55%
ジョージア
45%
ベルギー
50%
ポルトガル
32%
エストニア
20%
サンマリノ
12%
$408,929 Vol.
フィンランド
$326,399 Vol.
95%
スウェーデン
$1,255 Vol.
94%
ギリシャ
$3,967 Vol.
94%
イスラエル
$19,519 Vol.
88%
モルドバ
$0 Vol.
82%
クロアチア
$2,256 Vol.
82%
セルビア
$837 Vol.
67%
リトアニア
$2,309 Vol.
66%
ポーランド
$7,153 Vol.
55%
モンテネグロ
$1,414 Vol.
55%
ジョージア
$166 Vol.
45%
ベルギー
$6,160 Vol.
50%
ポルトガル
$30,880 Vol.
32%
エストニア
$1,568 Vol.
20%
サンマリノ
$5,045 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapped up in early March—including standouts like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final lineup is locked for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. The 15 contenders, split into first-half performers (Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden) and second-half (Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, Serbia), plus Big 5 acts Germany and Italy, set the stage for 10 qualifiers. Trader sentiment tracks early buzz on staging previews and historical Nordic/Baltic televote strength, with rehearsals and full running order draw as key near-term catalysts amid jury-televote splits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
音量
$408,929終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapped up in early March—including standouts like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final lineup is locked for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. The 15 contenders, split into first-half performers (Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden) and second-half (Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, Serbia), plus Big 5 acts Germany and Italy, set the stage for 10 qualifiers. Trader sentiment tracks early buzz on staging previews and historical Nordic/Baltic televote strength, with rehearsals and full running order draw as key near-term catalysts amid jury-televote splits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$408,929終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With national selections wrapped up in early March—including standouts like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final lineup is locked for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. The 15 contenders, split into first-half performers (Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden) and second-half (Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, Serbia), plus Big 5 acts Germany and Italy, set the stage for 10 qualifiers. Trader sentiment tracks early buzz on staging previews and historical Nordic/Baltic televote strength, with rehearsals and full running order draw as key near-term catalysts amid jury-televote splits.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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