The First Semi-Final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations alongside pre-qualified Germany and Italy, who perform and vote but auto-advance to the final. With all entries revealed by mid-March—highlighting Nordic standouts like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," Sweden's Felicia Eriksson's "My System," and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja comeback "Too Epic To Be True"—trader sentiment favors these for qualification, driven by strong preview buzz at recent Nordic Eurovision parties and early betting odds crowning Finland as the semi frontrunner. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Croatia's Andromeda Lelek ("Andromeda") also build momentum via streaming traction, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") faces headwinds from ongoing boycott controversies. Running order awaits reveal, with stand-in rehearsals underway; top 10 advance amid jury-televote split and EBU voting safeguards.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝
ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝
$413,257 Vol.
2026/05/12
フィンランド
98%
スウェーデン
94%
ギリシャ
94%
イスラエル
89%
クロアチア
83%
モルドバ
83%
リトアニア
72%
セルビア
69%
ポーランド
53%
ベルギー
52%
モンテネグロ
57%
ジョージア
47%
ポルトガル
32%
エストニア
21%
サンマリノ
14%
$413,257 Vol.
フィンランド
$328,580 Vol.
98%
スウェーデン
$1,467 Vol.
94%
ギリシャ
$4,018 Vol.
94%
イスラエル
$19,535 Vol.
89%
クロアチア
$2,256 Vol.
83%
モルドバ
$1,426 Vol.
83%
リトアニア
$2,591 Vol.
72%
セルビア
$839 Vol.
69%
ポーランド
$7,240 Vol.
53%
ベルギー
$6,224 Vol.
52%
モンテネグロ
$1,414 Vol.
57%
ジョージア
$166 Vol.
47%
ポルトガル
$30,880 Vol.
32%
エストニア
$1,574 Vol.
21%
サンマリノ
$5,045 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The First Semi-Final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations alongside pre-qualified Germany and Italy, who perform and vote but auto-advance to the final. With all entries revealed by mid-March—highlighting Nordic standouts like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," Sweden's Felicia Eriksson's "My System," and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja comeback "Too Epic To Be True"—trader sentiment favors these for qualification, driven by strong preview buzz at recent Nordic Eurovision parties and early betting odds crowning Finland as the semi frontrunner. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Croatia's Andromeda Lelek ("Andromeda") also build momentum via streaming traction, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") faces headwinds from ongoing boycott controversies. Running order awaits reveal, with stand-in rehearsals underway; top 10 advance amid jury-televote split and EBU voting safeguards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
音量
$413,257終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The First Semi-Final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations alongside pre-qualified Germany and Italy, who perform and vote but auto-advance to the final. With all entries revealed by mid-March—highlighting Nordic standouts like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," Sweden's Felicia Eriksson's "My System," and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja comeback "Too Epic To Be True"—trader sentiment favors these for qualification, driven by strong preview buzz at recent Nordic Eurovision parties and early betting odds crowning Finland as the semi frontrunner. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Croatia's Andromeda Lelek ("Andromeda") also build momentum via streaming traction, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") faces headwinds from ongoing boycott controversies. Running order awaits reveal, with stand-in rehearsals underway; top 10 advance amid jury-televote split and EBU voting safeguards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$413,257終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The First Semi-Final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations alongside pre-qualified Germany and Italy, who perform and vote but auto-advance to the final. With all entries revealed by mid-March—highlighting Nordic standouts like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," Sweden's Felicia Eriksson's "My System," and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja comeback "Too Epic To Be True"—trader sentiment favors these for qualification, driven by strong preview buzz at recent Nordic Eurovision parties and early betting odds crowning Finland as the semi frontrunner. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Croatia's Andromeda Lelek ("Andromeda") also build momentum via streaming traction, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") faces headwinds from ongoing boycott controversies. Running order awaits reveal, with stand-in rehearsals underway; top 10 advance amid jury-televote split and EBU voting safeguards.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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