With national selections wrapping up by mid-March, the full 35-song lineup for Vienna 2026 is set, fueling trader consensus on Polymarket for the First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle. Early betting odds and forecasts spotlight Finland's "The Model" as the frontrunner to top the heat, driven by strong preview buzz, alongside contenders from Sweden, Georgia, Greece, and Moldova amid high fan engagement on social media. The January semi-final allocation draw placed 15 nations—including Croatia, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Portugal, and Serbia—into the mix, where historical qualification rates favor Nordic and Eastern acts. Upcoming running order announcements and late-April rehearsals could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals and live polish, as jury votes and televoting blend unpredictably in this skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝
ユーロビジョン2026 ：初の準決勝
$412,271 Vol.
2026/05/12
フィンランド
97%
ギリシャ
94%
スウェーデン
94%
イスラエル
89%
モルドバ
82%
クロアチア
81%
リトアニア
70%
セルビア
66%
モンテネグロ
57%
ジョージア
47%
ポーランド
46%
ベルギー
50%
ポルトガル
32%
エストニア
20%
サンマリノ
16%
$412,271 Vol.
フィンランド
$328,114 Vol.
97%
ギリシャ
$3,967 Vol.
94%
スウェーデン
$1,303 Vol.
94%
イスラエル
$19,535 Vol.
89%
モルドバ
$1,426 Vol.
82%
クロアチア
$2,256 Vol.
81%
リトアニア
$2,439 Vol.
70%
セルビア
$837 Vol.
66%
モンテネグロ
$1,414 Vol.
57%
ジョージア
$166 Vol.
47%
ポーランド
$7,153 Vol.
46%
ベルギー
$6,160 Vol.
50%
ポルトガル
$30,880 Vol.
32%
エストニア
$1,574 Vol.
20%
サンマリノ
$5,045 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapping up by mid-March, the full 35-song lineup for Vienna 2026 is set, fueling trader consensus on Polymarket for the First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle. Early betting odds and forecasts spotlight Finland's "The Model" as the frontrunner to top the heat, driven by strong preview buzz, alongside contenders from Sweden, Georgia, Greece, and Moldova amid high fan engagement on social media. The January semi-final allocation draw placed 15 nations—including Croatia, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Portugal, and Serbia—into the mix, where historical qualification rates favor Nordic and Eastern acts. Upcoming running order announcements and late-April rehearsals could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals and live polish, as jury votes and televoting blend unpredictably in this skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
音量
$412,271終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapping up by mid-March, the full 35-song lineup for Vienna 2026 is set, fueling trader consensus on Polymarket for the First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle. Early betting odds and forecasts spotlight Finland's "The Model" as the frontrunner to top the heat, driven by strong preview buzz, alongside contenders from Sweden, Georgia, Greece, and Moldova amid high fan engagement on social media. The January semi-final allocation draw placed 15 nations—including Croatia, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Portugal, and Serbia—into the mix, where historical qualification rates favor Nordic and Eastern acts. Upcoming running order announcements and late-April rehearsals could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals and live polish, as jury votes and televoting blend unpredictably in this skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$412,271終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With national selections wrapping up by mid-March, the full 35-song lineup for Vienna 2026 is set, fueling trader consensus on Polymarket for the First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle. Early betting odds and forecasts spotlight Finland's "The Model" as the frontrunner to top the heat, driven by strong preview buzz, alongside contenders from Sweden, Georgia, Greece, and Moldova amid high fan engagement on social media. The January semi-final allocation draw placed 15 nations—including Croatia, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Portugal, and Serbia—into the mix, where historical qualification rates favor Nordic and Eastern acts. Upcoming running order announcements and late-April rehearsals could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals and live polish, as jury votes and televoting blend unpredictably in this skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問