Skip to main content

$8,838 Vol.

2026/06/02
Polymarket

$8,838 Vol.

Polymarket

Ami Bera

$832 Vol.

Yes

Chris Richardson

$757 Vol.

No

Heidi Hall

$741 Vol.

No

Lyndon Cervantes

$155 Vol.

No

Chris Bennett

$507 Vol.

No

Christine Bish

$2,856 Vol.

No

Laura Koscki

$627 Vol.

No

Robb Tucker

$2,363 Vol.

Yes

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District held its June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary under the state's top-two system, in which the two highest vote-getters advance to the November general election. Recent vote tallies show Republican Robb Tucker and Democratic incumbent Ami Bera leading the field, with Tucker at approximately 34 percent and Bera at 33 percent; other candidates, including additional Republicans and Democrats, trailed significantly. Redistricting under Proposition 50 altered the district's boundaries, incorporating more of northern Sacramento County and shifting its partisan leanings. The primary followed candidate filing in March and a certified ballot list released by the Secretary of State. Market pricing reflects trader assessment of these preliminary results and the low likelihood of major changes from remaining ballots or official certification.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$8,838
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District held its June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary under the state's top-two system, in which the two highest vote-getters advance to the November general election. Recent vote tallies show Republican Robb Tucker and Democratic incumbent Ami Bera leading the field, with Tucker at approximately 34 percent and Bera at 33 percent; other candidates, including additional Republicans and Democrats, trailed significantly. Redistricting under Proposition 50 altered the district's boundaries, incorporating more of northern Sacramento County and shifting its partisan leanings. The primary followed candidate filing in March and a certified ballot list released by the Secretary of State. Market pricing reflects trader assessment of these preliminary results and the low likelihood of major changes from remaining ballots or official certification.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$8,838
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「CA-03 Primary Winners」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Ami Bera」で100%、次いで「Robb Tucker」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「CA-03 Primary Winners」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 22, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「CA-03 Primary Winners」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CA-03 Primary Winners」の現在のフロントランナーは「Ami Bera」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Robb Tucker」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CA-03 Primary Winners」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。