California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera, who shifted from a neighboring seat after Proposition 50's mid-decade redistricting made the district Democratic-leaning (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). Bera leads with superior fundraising—$1.8 million cash on hand—and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, but faces three Democratic challengers including environmentally focused Heidi Hall, risking vote splitting. Republicans, led by Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker (endorsed by ex-Rep. Kevin Kiley), vie for the second advancement spot. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, with slight GOP edges in recent tallies, heightening trader focus on turnout and top-two dynamics amid limited polling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日CA-03 Primary Winners
CA-03 Primary Winners
新規
2026/06/02
Ami Bera
92%
Robb Tucker
65%
Christine Bish
25%
Heidi Hall
16%
Chris Bennett
6%
Laura Koscki
6%
Lyndon Cervantes
4%
Chris Richardson
4%
$4,465 Vol.
Ami Bera
$459 Vol.
92%
Robb Tucker
$1,972 Vol.
65%
Christine Bish
$1,125 Vol.
25%
Heidi Hall
$452 Vol.
16%
Chris Bennett
$258 Vol.
6%
Laura Koscki
$73 Vol.
6%
Lyndon Cervantes
$0 Vol.
4%
Chris Richardson
$125 Vol.
4%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera, who shifted from a neighboring seat after Proposition 50's mid-decade redistricting made the district Democratic-leaning (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). Bera leads with superior fundraising—$1.8 million cash on hand—and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, but faces three Democratic challengers including environmentally focused Heidi Hall, risking vote splitting. Republicans, led by Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker (endorsed by ex-Rep. Kevin Kiley), vie for the second advancement spot. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, with slight GOP edges in recent tallies, heightening trader focus on turnout and top-two dynamics amid limited polling.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
音量
$4,465終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera, who shifted from a neighboring seat after Proposition 50's mid-decade redistricting made the district Democratic-leaning (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). Bera leads with superior fundraising—$1.8 million cash on hand—and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, but faces three Democratic challengers including environmentally focused Heidi Hall, risking vote splitting. Republicans, led by Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker (endorsed by ex-Rep. Kevin Kiley), vie for the second advancement spot. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, with slight GOP edges in recent tallies, heightening trader focus on turnout and top-two dynamics amid limited polling.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$4,465終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera, who shifted from a neighboring seat after Proposition 50's mid-decade redistricting made the district Democratic-leaning (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). Bera leads with superior fundraising—$1.8 million cash on hand—and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, but faces three Democratic challengers including environmentally focused Heidi Hall, risking vote splitting. Republicans, led by Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker (endorsed by ex-Rep. Kevin Kiley), vie for the second advancement spot. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, with slight GOP edges in recent tallies, heightening trader focus on turnout and top-two dynamics amid limited polling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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