Skip to main content
icon for CA-03 Primary Winners
選挙·カリフォルニア州予備選挙

CA-03 Primary Winners

icon for CA-03 Primary Winners
選挙·カリフォルニア州予備選挙

CA-03 Primary Winners

$6,183 Vol.

2026/06/02
Polymarket

$6,183 Vol.

Polymarket

Ami Bera

$491 Vol.

97%

Robb Tucker

$2,268 Vol.

95%

Heidi Hall

$691 Vol.

5%

Christine Bish

$1,561 Vol.

4%

Laura Koscki

$459 Vol.

2%

Chris Bennett

$337 Vol.

2%

Chris Richardson

$317 Vol.

1%

Lyndon Cervantes

$60 Vol.

1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd congressional district primary on June 2, 2026, followed redistricting under Proposition 50, which shifted boundaries to include more of northern Sacramento County and altered the competitive landscape. Incumbent Representative Ami Bera, previously of the 6th district, entered the race as the leading Democratic candidate alongside challengers including Heidi Hall, while Republican contenders such as Robb Tucker and Christine Bish competed in the nonpartisan top-two format. Final certified results showed Tucker and Bera securing the two highest vote shares and advancing to the November general election. Trader consensus in related prediction markets aligns closely with these outcomes, reflecting the influence of candidate fundraising, endorsements from party organizations, and voter turnout patterns in the newly configured district. No further primary-stage events remain scheduled.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$6,183
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd congressional district primary on June 2, 2026, followed redistricting under Proposition 50, which shifted boundaries to include more of northern Sacramento County and altered the competitive landscape. Incumbent Representative Ami Bera, previously of the 6th district, entered the race as the leading Democratic candidate alongside challengers including Heidi Hall, while Republican contenders such as Robb Tucker and Christine Bish competed in the nonpartisan top-two format. Final certified results showed Tucker and Bera securing the two highest vote shares and advancing to the November general election. Trader consensus in related prediction markets aligns closely with these outcomes, reflecting the influence of candidate fundraising, endorsements from party organizations, and voter turnout patterns in the newly configured district. No further primary-stage events remain scheduled.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$6,183
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「CA-03 Primary Winners」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Ami Bera」で97%、次いで「Robb Tucker」が95%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、97¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に97%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「CA-03 Primary Winners」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 22, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「CA-03 Primary Winners」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CA-03 Primary Winners」の現在のフロントランナーは「Ami Bera」で97%であり、市場がこの結果に97%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Robb Tucker」で95%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CA-03 Primary Winners」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。