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政治·ジョー・バイデン

2023 Time Person of the Year

Market icon
政治·ジョー・バイデン

2023 Time Person of the Year

$134,570 Vol.

Jan 14, 2023
Polymarket

$134,570 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Elon Musk

$7,798 Vol.

No

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$3,729 Vol.

No

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AI

$40,732 Vol.

No

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Joe Biden

$2,718 Vol.

No

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Sam Altman

$43,419 Vol.

No

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Benjamin Netanyahu

$1,305 Vol.

No

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Taylor Swift

$32,635 Vol.

Yes

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Xi Jinping

$2,234 Vol.

No

If Elon Musk is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Elon Musk is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Elon Musk and X", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The X Team", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Elon Musk as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Volodymyr Zelenskyy is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Volodymyr Zelenskyy is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The People of Ukraine", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Volodymyr Zelenskyy as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If "AI", "Artificial Intelligence", or another phrase directly referring to artificial intelligence (e.g. ChatGPT, GPT-4) is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if AI is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as AI is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "AI and Sam Altman", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "OpenAI Team", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention AI or AI models/interfaces as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Joe Biden is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Joe Biden is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Joe and Jill Biden", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The United States Executive Branch", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Joe Biden as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".If Sam Altman is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Sam Altman is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "AI and Sam Altman", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "OpenAI Team", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Sam Altman as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Benjamin Netanyahu is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Benjamin Netanyahu is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Israel and Benjamin Netanyahu", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "Israeli People", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Benjamin Netanyahu as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Taylor Swift is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Taylor Swift is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is "Pop Stars", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Taylor Swift as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".If Xi Jinping is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Xi Jinping is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "China and Xi Jinping", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "Chinese People", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Xi Jinping as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".

If Elon Musk is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Elon Musk is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Elon Musk and X", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The X Team", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Elon Musk as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Volodymyr Zelenskyy is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Volodymyr Zelenskyy is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The People of Ukraine", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Volodymyr Zelenskyy as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If "AI", "Artificial Intelligence", or another phrase directly referring to artificial intelligence (e.g. ChatGPT, GPT-4) is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if AI is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as AI is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "AI and Sam Altman", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "OpenAI Team", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention AI or AI models/interfaces as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Joe Biden is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Joe Biden is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Joe and Jill Biden", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "The United States Executive Branch", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Joe Biden as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".If Sam Altman is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Sam Altman is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "AI and Sam Altman", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "OpenAI Team", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Sam Altman as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Benjamin Netanyahu is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Benjamin Netanyahu is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Israel and Benjamin Netanyahu", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "Israeli People", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Benjamin Netanyahu as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". If Taylor Swift is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Taylor Swift is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is "Pop Stars", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Taylor Swift as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".If Xi Jinping is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as Xi Jinping is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "China and Xi Jinping", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "Chinese People", this market will resolve to "No". If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention Xi Jinping as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes". This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".

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よくある質問

「2023 Time Person of the Year」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Taylor Swift」で100%、次いで「Elon Musk」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2023 Time Person of the Year」は$134.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Oct 19, 2023のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2023 Time Person of the Year」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2023 Time Person of the Year」の現在のフロントランナーは「Taylor Swift」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Elon Musk」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2023 Time Person of the Year」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。