Rr55

参加しました 11月 2024·14.1K views

Bet small, panic big

$48.0K

ポジション値

$3,678.86

最大の勝利

1,682

予測

損益

-$93.38

過去1日

現在

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

No 93.3¢

4,443.1 株

93.3¢

97.7¢

$4,338.73$195.50 (4.72%)

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

No 93.3¢

4,443.1 株

$4,338.73$195.50 (4.72%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 96¢

3,475.3 株

96¢

93.3¢

$3,242.47-$93.54 (-2.8%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 96¢

3,475.3 株

$3,242.47-$93.54 (-2.8%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 86.8¢

3,038.7 株

86.8¢

81.5¢

$2,476.27-$160.85 (-6.1%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 86.8¢

3,038.7 株

$2,476.27-$160.85 (-6.1%)

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 60.9¢

5,278.9 株

60.9¢

46.5¢

$2,454.67-$761.41 (-23.68%)

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 60.9¢

5,278.9 株

$2,454.67-$761.41 (-23.68%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

No 96¢

2,400.0 株

96¢

97.4¢

$2,336.40$32.00 (1.39%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

No 96¢

2,400.0 株

$2,336.40$32.00 (1.39%)

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 32.2¢

4,692.4 株

32.2¢

32.5¢

$1,525.04$12.38 (0.82%)

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 32.2¢

4,692.4 株

$1,525.04$12.38 (0.82%)

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 94.3¢

1,593.4 株

94.3¢

94.4¢

$1,503.40$1.20 (0.08%)

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 94.3¢

1,593.4 株

$1,503.40$1.20 (0.08%)

Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 86.9¢

1,466.6 株

86.9¢

95.9¢

$1,405.70$131.26 (10.3%)

Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 86.9¢

1,466.6 株

$1,405.70$131.26 (10.3%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 88.5¢

1,510.0 株

88.5¢

92.5¢

$1,396.74$60.55 (4.53%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 88.5¢

1,510.0 株

$1,396.74$60.55 (4.53%)

Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?

No 91.5¢

1,421.0 株

91.5¢

97.3¢

$1,382.63$83.11 (6.4%)

Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?

No 91.5¢

1,421.0 株

$1,382.63$83.11 (6.4%)

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 91¢

1,357.0 株

91¢

94.7¢

$1,284.36$49.11 (3.98%)

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 91¢

1,357.0 株

$1,284.36$49.11 (3.98%)

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

No 89.8¢

1,368.1 株

89.8¢

92.9¢

$1,270.96$42.37 (3.45%)

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

No 89.8¢

1,368.1 株

$1,270.96$42.37 (3.45%)

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 64.1¢

1,710.0 株

64.1¢

66.5¢

$1,137.15$40.15 (3.66%)

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 64.1¢

1,710.0 株

$1,137.15$40.15 (3.66%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 96.5¢

1,060.0 株

96.5¢

98.9¢

$1,047.80$25.33 (2.48%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 96.5¢

1,060.0 株

$1,047.80$25.33 (2.48%)

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.5¢

1,000.0 株

98.5¢

98.4¢

$983.50-$1.50 (-0.15%)

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.5¢

1,000.0 株

$983.50-$1.50 (-0.15%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 71.7¢

1,508.3 株

71.7¢

62.5¢

$942.70-$139.25 (-12.87%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 71.7¢

1,508.3 株

$942.70-$139.25 (-12.87%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 72.2¢

1,230.0 株

72.2¢

72.5¢

$891.75$3.25 (0.37%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 72.2¢

1,230.0 株

$891.75$3.25 (0.37%)

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

No 96.5¢

900.0 株

96.5¢

98.9¢

$889.65$20.85 (2.4%)

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

No 96.5¢

900.0 株

$889.65$20.85 (2.4%)

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

No 93.2¢

900.0 株

93.2¢

95¢

$855.00$16.00 (1.91%)

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

No 93.2¢

900.0 株

$855.00$16.00 (1.91%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 81.5¢

1,010.0 株

81.5¢

84.5¢

$853.45$30.35 (3.69%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 81.5¢

1,010.0 株

$853.45$30.35 (3.69%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89¢

900.0 株

89¢

90.5¢

$814.51$13.50 (1.69%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89¢

900.0 株

$814.51$13.50 (1.69%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 92¢

810.0 株

92¢

93.5¢

$757.35$12.25 (1.64%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 92¢

810.0 株

$757.35$12.25 (1.64%)

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 52.7¢

986.5 株

52.7¢

72¢

$710.31$189.94 (36.5%)

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 52.7¢

986.5 株

$710.31$189.94 (36.5%)

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

No 84.9¢

700.0 株

84.9¢

97¢

$678.65$84.68 (14.26%)

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

No 84.9¢

700.0 株

$678.65$84.68 (14.26%)

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 89.1¢

720.0 株

89.1¢

91.5¢

$658.44$16.97 (2.65%)

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 89.1¢

720.0 株

$658.44$16.97 (2.65%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 75.3¢

820.0 株

75.3¢

79.5¢

$651.90$34.50 (5.59%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 75.3¢

820.0 株

$651.90$34.50 (5.59%)

Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?

No 94.6¢

633.5 株

94.6¢

97.8¢

$619.23$19.71 (3.29%)

Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?

No 94.6¢

633.5 株

$619.23$19.71 (3.29%)

Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?

No 97.8¢

560.0 株

97.8¢

98.6¢

$552.16$4.33 (0.79%)

Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?

No 97.8¢

560.0 株

$552.16$4.33 (0.79%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 82.1¢

600.0 株

82.1¢

83.5¢

$501.00$8.68 (1.76%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 82.1¢

600.0 株

$501.00$8.68 (1.76%)

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

No 93.3¢

4,443.1 株

93.3¢

97.7¢

$4,338.73$195.50 (4.72%)

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

No 93.3¢

4,443.1 株

$4,338.73$195.50 (4.72%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 96¢

3,475.3 株

96¢

93.3¢

$3,242.47-$93.54 (-2.8%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 96¢

3,475.3 株

$3,242.47-$93.54 (-2.8%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 86.8¢

3,038.7 株

86.8¢

81.5¢

$2,476.27-$160.85 (-6.1%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 86.8¢

3,038.7 株

$2,476.27-$160.85 (-6.1%)

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 60.9¢

5,278.9 株

60.9¢

46.5¢

$2,454.67-$761.41 (-23.68%)

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 60.9¢

5,278.9 株

$2,454.67-$761.41 (-23.68%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

No 96¢

2,400.0 株

96¢

97.4¢

$2,336.40$32.00 (1.39%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

No 96¢

2,400.0 株

$2,336.40$32.00 (1.39%)

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 32.2¢

4,692.4 株

32.2¢

32.5¢

$1,525.04$12.38 (0.82%)

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 32.2¢

4,692.4 株

$1,525.04$12.38 (0.82%)

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 94.3¢

1,593.4 株

94.3¢

94.4¢

$1,503.40$1.20 (0.08%)

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 94.3¢

1,593.4 株

$1,503.40$1.20 (0.08%)

Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 86.9¢

1,466.6 株

86.9¢

95.9¢

$1,405.70$131.26 (10.3%)

Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 86.9¢

1,466.6 株

$1,405.70$131.26 (10.3%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 88.5¢

1,510.0 株

88.5¢

92.5¢

$1,396.74$60.55 (4.53%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 88.5¢

1,510.0 株

$1,396.74$60.55 (4.53%)

Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?

No 91.5¢

1,421.0 株

91.5¢

97.3¢

$1,382.63$83.11 (6.4%)

Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?

No 91.5¢

1,421.0 株

$1,382.63$83.11 (6.4%)

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 91¢

1,357.0 株

91¢

94.7¢

$1,284.36$49.11 (3.98%)

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 91¢

1,357.0 株

$1,284.36$49.11 (3.98%)

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

No 89.8¢

1,368.1 株

89.8¢

92.9¢

$1,270.96$42.37 (3.45%)

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

No 89.8¢

1,368.1 株

$1,270.96$42.37 (3.45%)

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 64.1¢

1,710.0 株

64.1¢

66.5¢

$1,137.15$40.15 (3.66%)

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 64.1¢

1,710.0 株

$1,137.15$40.15 (3.66%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 96.5¢

1,060.0 株

96.5¢

98.9¢

$1,047.80$25.33 (2.48%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 96.5¢

1,060.0 株

$1,047.80$25.33 (2.48%)

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.5¢

1,000.0 株

98.5¢

98.4¢

$983.50-$1.50 (-0.15%)

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.5¢

1,000.0 株

$983.50-$1.50 (-0.15%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 71.7¢

1,508.3 株

71.7¢

62.5¢

$942.70-$139.25 (-12.87%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 71.7¢

1,508.3 株

$942.70-$139.25 (-12.87%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 72.2¢

1,230.0 株

72.2¢

72.5¢

$891.75$3.25 (0.37%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 72.2¢

1,230.0 株

$891.75$3.25 (0.37%)

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

No 96.5¢

900.0 株

96.5¢

98.9¢

$889.65$20.85 (2.4%)

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

No 96.5¢

900.0 株

$889.65$20.85 (2.4%)

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

No 93.2¢

900.0 株

93.2¢

95¢

$855.00$16.00 (1.91%)

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

No 93.2¢

900.0 株

$855.00$16.00 (1.91%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 81.5¢

1,010.0 株

81.5¢

84.5¢

$853.45$30.35 (3.69%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 81.5¢

1,010.0 株

$853.45$30.35 (3.69%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89¢

900.0 株

89¢

90.5¢

$814.51$13.50 (1.69%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89¢

900.0 株

$814.51$13.50 (1.69%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 92¢

810.0 株

92¢

93.5¢

$757.35$12.25 (1.64%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 92¢

810.0 株

$757.35$12.25 (1.64%)

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 52.7¢

986.5 株

52.7¢

72¢

$710.31$189.94 (36.5%)

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 52.7¢

986.5 株

$710.31$189.94 (36.5%)

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

No 84.9¢

700.0 株

84.9¢

97¢

$678.65$84.68 (14.26%)

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

No 84.9¢

700.0 株

$678.65$84.68 (14.26%)

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 89.1¢

720.0 株

89.1¢

91.5¢

$658.44$16.97 (2.65%)

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 89.1¢

720.0 株

$658.44$16.97 (2.65%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 75.3¢

820.0 株

75.3¢

79.5¢

$651.90$34.50 (5.59%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 75.3¢

820.0 株

$651.90$34.50 (5.59%)

Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?

No 94.6¢

633.5 株

94.6¢

97.8¢

$619.23$19.71 (3.29%)

Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?

No 94.6¢

633.5 株

$619.23$19.71 (3.29%)

Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?

No 97.8¢

560.0 株

97.8¢

98.6¢

$552.16$4.33 (0.79%)

Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?

No 97.8¢

560.0 株

$552.16$4.33 (0.79%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 82.1¢

600.0 株

82.1¢

83.5¢

$501.00$8.68 (1.76%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 82.1¢

600.0 株

$501.00$8.68 (1.76%)