CDAP1

参加しました 1月 2026·358 views

$11.7K

ポジション値

$2,867.69

最大の勝利

予測

損益

$37,468.63

オールタイム

現在

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 15.2¢

8,488.6 株

15.2¢

34.4¢

$2,923.49$1,630.50 (126.1%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 15.2¢

8,488.6 株

$2,923.49$1,630.50 (126.1%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.2¢

143,113.6 株

4.2¢

1.6¢

$2,218.26-$3,828.00 (-63.31%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.2¢

143,113.6 株

$2,218.26-$3,828.00 (-63.31%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.1¢

850,396.5 株

2.1¢

0.3¢

$2,125.99-$15,728.08 (-88.09%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.1¢

850,396.5 株

$2,125.99-$15,728.08 (-88.09%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

No 49.3¢

1,404.6 株

49.3¢

84.5¢

$1,186.85$494.64 (71.46%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

No 49.3¢

1,404.6 株

$1,186.85$494.64 (71.46%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.6¢

24,999.9 株

4.6¢

4.2¢

$1,050.00-$99.07 (-8.62%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.6¢

24,999.9 株

$1,050.00-$99.07 (-8.62%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 5.5¢

10,175.9 株

5.5¢

6.3¢

$641.08$83.69 (15.01%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 5.5¢

10,175.9 株

$641.08$83.69 (15.01%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8¢

200,000.0 株

0.8¢

0.3¢

$500.00-$1,100.00 (-68.75%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8¢

200,000.0 株

$500.00-$1,100.00 (-68.75%)

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 3¢

4,307.9 株

3¢

5.3¢

$226.17$98.62 (77.32%)

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 3¢

4,307.9 株

$226.17$98.62 (77.32%)

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

No 62¢

340.3 株

62¢

62.5¢

$212.71$1.80 (0.85%)

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

No 62¢

340.3 株

$212.71$1.80 (0.85%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Yes 20¢

1,362.8 株

20¢

15.5¢

$211.24-$61.33 (-22.5%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Yes 20¢

1,362.8 株

$211.24-$61.33 (-22.5%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 2.9¢

3,784.6 株

2.9¢

4.9¢

$185.45$74.85 (67.68%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 2.9¢

3,784.6 株

$185.45$74.85 (67.68%)

Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 21.4¢

339.5 株

21.4¢

23.5¢

$79.78$7.06 (9.71%)

Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 21.4¢

339.5 株

$79.78$7.06 (9.71%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.6¢

30,167.1 株

1.6¢

0.2¢

$45.25-$432.26 (-90.52%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.6¢

30,167.1 株

$45.25-$432.26 (-90.52%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 3.5¢

1,453.9 株

3.5¢

1.8¢

$26.17-$24.65 (-48.51%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 3.5¢

1,453.9 株

$26.17-$24.65 (-48.51%)

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

No 16¢

92.0 株

16¢

21.5¢

$19.78$5.06 (34.37%)

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

No 16¢

92.0 株

$19.78$5.06 (34.37%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Yes 7¢

132.6 株

7¢

8.5¢

$11.27$1.99 (21.43%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Yes 7¢

132.6 株

$11.27$1.99 (21.43%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 14.9¢

49.7 株

14.9¢

13.5¢

$6.71-$0.70 (-9.43%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 14.9¢

49.7 株

$6.71-$0.70 (-9.43%)

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 36¢

0.4 株

36¢

79.5¢

$0.32$0.18 (120.75%)

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 36¢

0.4 株

$0.32$0.18 (120.75%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 55.1¢

0.3 株

55.1¢

91.5¢

$0.27$0.11 (65.98%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 55.1¢

0.3 株

$0.27$0.11 (65.98%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13.5¢

0.7 株

13.5¢

29.5¢

$0.20$0.11 (118.59%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13.5¢

0.7 株

$0.20$0.11 (118.59%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 45.7¢

0.2 株

45.7¢

93.5¢

$0.18$0.09 (104.44%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 45.7¢

0.2 株

$0.18$0.09 (104.44%)

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 13¢

0.7 株

13¢

8.5¢

$0.06-$0.03 (-34.62%)

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 13¢

0.7 株

$0.06-$0.03 (-34.62%)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Yes 18.9¢

1,753.3 株

18.9¢

0¢

$0.00-$331.39 (-100%)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Yes 18.9¢

1,753.3 株

$0.00-$331.39 (-100%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 15.2¢

8,488.6 株

15.2¢

34.4¢

$2,923.49$1,630.50 (126.1%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 15.2¢

8,488.6 株

$2,923.49$1,630.50 (126.1%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.2¢

143,113.6 株

4.2¢

1.6¢

$2,218.26-$3,828.00 (-63.31%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.2¢

143,113.6 株

$2,218.26-$3,828.00 (-63.31%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.1¢

850,396.5 株

2.1¢

0.3¢

$2,125.99-$15,728.08 (-88.09%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.1¢

850,396.5 株

$2,125.99-$15,728.08 (-88.09%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

No 49.3¢

1,404.6 株

49.3¢

84.5¢

$1,186.85$494.64 (71.46%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

No 49.3¢

1,404.6 株

$1,186.85$494.64 (71.46%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.6¢

24,999.9 株

4.6¢

4.2¢

$1,050.00-$99.07 (-8.62%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.6¢

24,999.9 株

$1,050.00-$99.07 (-8.62%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 5.5¢

10,175.9 株

5.5¢

6.3¢

$641.08$83.69 (15.01%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 5.5¢

10,175.9 株

$641.08$83.69 (15.01%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8¢

200,000.0 株

0.8¢

0.3¢

$500.00-$1,100.00 (-68.75%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8¢

200,000.0 株

$500.00-$1,100.00 (-68.75%)

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 3¢

4,307.9 株

3¢

5.3¢

$226.17$98.62 (77.32%)

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 3¢

4,307.9 株

$226.17$98.62 (77.32%)

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

No 62¢

340.3 株

62¢

62.5¢

$212.71$1.80 (0.85%)

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

No 62¢

340.3 株

$212.71$1.80 (0.85%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Yes 20¢

1,362.8 株

20¢

15.5¢

$211.24-$61.33 (-22.5%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Yes 20¢

1,362.8 株

$211.24-$61.33 (-22.5%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 2.9¢

3,784.6 株

2.9¢

4.9¢

$185.45$74.85 (67.68%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 2.9¢

3,784.6 株

$185.45$74.85 (67.68%)

Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 21.4¢

339.5 株

21.4¢

23.5¢

$79.78$7.06 (9.71%)

Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 21.4¢

339.5 株

$79.78$7.06 (9.71%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.6¢

30,167.1 株

1.6¢

0.2¢

$45.25-$432.26 (-90.52%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.6¢

30,167.1 株

$45.25-$432.26 (-90.52%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 3.5¢

1,453.9 株

3.5¢

1.8¢

$26.17-$24.65 (-48.51%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 3.5¢

1,453.9 株

$26.17-$24.65 (-48.51%)

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

No 16¢

92.0 株

16¢

21.5¢

$19.78$5.06 (34.37%)

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

No 16¢

92.0 株

$19.78$5.06 (34.37%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Yes 7¢

132.6 株

7¢

8.5¢

$11.27$1.99 (21.43%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Yes 7¢

132.6 株

$11.27$1.99 (21.43%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 14.9¢

49.7 株

14.9¢

13.5¢

$6.71-$0.70 (-9.43%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 14.9¢

49.7 株

$6.71-$0.70 (-9.43%)

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 36¢

0.4 株

36¢

79.5¢

$0.32$0.18 (120.75%)

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 36¢

0.4 株

$0.32$0.18 (120.75%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 55.1¢

0.3 株

55.1¢

91.5¢

$0.27$0.11 (65.98%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 55.1¢

0.3 株

$0.27$0.11 (65.98%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13.5¢

0.7 株

13.5¢

29.5¢

$0.20$0.11 (118.59%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13.5¢

0.7 株

$0.20$0.11 (118.59%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 45.7¢

0.2 株

45.7¢

93.5¢

$0.18$0.09 (104.44%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 45.7¢

0.2 株

$0.18$0.09 (104.44%)

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 13¢

0.7 株

13¢

8.5¢

$0.06-$0.03 (-34.62%)

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 13¢

0.7 株

$0.06-$0.03 (-34.62%)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Yes 18.9¢

1,753.3 株

18.9¢

0¢

$0.00-$331.39 (-100%)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Yes 18.9¢

1,753.3 株

$0.00-$331.39 (-100%)