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Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
87¢
85.5¢

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
16¢
47¢

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Russian strike on Poland by June 30?

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
30.8¢
32¢

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
27.6¢
26.5¢

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
20¢
19¢

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
8¢
8.6¢

Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
17¢
33¢

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
9¢
15.5¢

Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
14¢
21.7¢

Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?