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Dont play the odds, play the man
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Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50¢
81.4¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
44¢
40.5¢

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
68.2¢
67.6¢

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
10.4¢
54.6¢

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50¢
18.7¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
41.6¢
93.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
69.4¢
51.5¢

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
90.3¢
93¢

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
78.1¢
89.5¢

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?