The 30-year fixed mortgage rate dipped to 6.30% as of April 16 per Freddie Mac, down from 6.37% the prior week, driven by an Iran ceasefire easing Treasury yield risk premiums—with the 10-year note steady around 4.29%. This follows March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year on energy surges, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's pause at a 3.5%-3.75% fed funds target, with the March dot plot signaling just one 2026 cut amid sticky prices. Trader consensus via prediction markets prices limited further declines toward 6% by year-end, contingent on disinflation; key catalysts include April CPI (May 12 release) and the May FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate rate cut odds and mortgage pricing dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl tasso ipotecario a 30 anni raggiungerà __ nel 2026?
Il tasso ipotecario a 30 anni raggiungerà __ nel 2026?
$43,580 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ 7,00%
61%
↑ 6,75%
48%
↑ 6,50%
47%
↓ 5,90%
38%
↓ 5,70%
31%
↓ 5,50%
51%
$43,580 Vol.
↑ 7,00%
$21 Vol.
61%
↑ 6,75%
$46 Vol.
48%
↑ 6,50%
$6,607 Vol.
47%
↓ 5,90%
$0 Vol.
38%
↓ 5,70%
$6,769 Vol.
31%
↓ 5,50%
$25 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.The 30-year fixed mortgage rate dipped to 6.30% as of April 16 per Freddie Mac, down from 6.37% the prior week, driven by an Iran ceasefire easing Treasury yield risk premiums—with the 10-year note steady around 4.29%. This follows March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year on energy surges, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's pause at a 3.5%-3.75% fed funds target, with the March dot plot signaling just one 2026 cut amid sticky prices. Trader consensus via prediction markets prices limited further declines toward 6% by year-end, contingent on disinflation; key catalysts include April CPI (May 12 release) and the May FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate rate cut odds and mortgage pricing dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$43,580Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.The 30-year fixed mortgage rate dipped to 6.30% as of April 16 per Freddie Mac, down from 6.37% the prior week, driven by an Iran ceasefire easing Treasury yield risk premiums—with the 10-year note steady around 4.29%. This follows March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year on energy surges, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's pause at a 3.5%-3.75% fed funds target, with the March dot plot signaling just one 2026 cut amid sticky prices. Trader consensus via prediction markets prices limited further declines toward 6% by year-end, contingent on disinflation; key catalysts include April CPI (May 12 release) and the May FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate rate cut odds and mortgage pricing dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volume
$43,580Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 30-year fixed mortgage rate dipped to 6.30% as of April 16 per Freddie Mac, down from 6.37% the prior week, driven by an Iran ceasefire easing Treasury yield risk premiums—with the 10-year note steady around 4.29%. This follows March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year on energy surges, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's pause at a 3.5%-3.75% fed funds target, with the March dot plot signaling just one 2026 cut amid sticky prices. Trader consensus via prediction markets prices limited further declines toward 6% by year-end, contingent on disinflation; key catalysts include April CPI (May 12 release) and the May FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate rate cut odds and mortgage pricing dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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